What do falling Covid rates in the UK mean for America's battle with the Indian ...

What do falling Covid rates in the UK mean for America's battle with the Indian ...
What do falling Covid rates in the UK mean for America's battle with the Indian ...

As coronavirus cases continue to rise across the U.S, infections in the UK appear to be trending downward.

On Tuesday, the country recorded 23,511 COVID-19 cases, marking the seventh day in a row of declines and a drop of 132 percent from the 54,674 cases recorded 11 days ago, according to government data, despite the spread of the Indian 'Delta' variant.

The decrease has amazed scientists and pubic health experts, including UK Secretary of State for Health Sajid Javid, who predicted that cases in Britain would reach as high as 100,000 per day before declining.

Meanwhile, America recorded 89,418 cases on Monday with a seven-day rolling average of 57,446, which is an 84 percent rise from the 31,078 average recorded a week and a half ago, according to Johns Hopkins data.

Officials caution that the decline of infections in the UK may not last, because the recent cases do not take into account the full impact of England lifting most remaining pandemic-era restrictions on July 19.

However, experts tell DailyMail.com that the drop in cases is due to several factors including increased uptake in vaccinations, warmer weather and fewer people gathering indoors and - if cases do continue to decline in the UK - that could mean good news for the U.S. as it battles its own Delta-induced surge.

Coronavirus cases in the UK have fallen for the seventh day in a row from 54,674 COVID-19 cases recorded 11 days ago to 23,511 on Monday, a decline of 119% 

Meanwhile, the U.S. recorded 89,418 cases on Monday with a seven-day rolling average of 57,446, which is an 84% rise from the 31,078 average on July 17

Meanwhile, the U.S. recorded 89,418 cases on Monday with a seven-day rolling average of 57,446, which is an 84% rise from the 31,078 average on July 17

Deaths are also down overall in the UK, declining from 19 last Monday to 14 yesterday, a drop of 26%

Similarly in the U.S., deaths have not risen and have remained steady over the past few weeks at an average of about 200-something deaths per day

Similarly in the U.S., deaths have not risen and have remained steady over the past few weeks at an average of about 200-something deaths per day

UK officials and Boris Johnson have warned the public that the declining numbers do not mean that the Delta variant is no longer a threat.

'I've noticed, obviously, that we are six days in to some better figures,' he said during a visit to Surrey Police headquarters in Guildford.

'But it is very, very important that we don't allow ourselves to run away with premature conclusions about this. People have got to remain very cautious and that remains the approach of the government.'

Additionally, experts in UK have warned that any impact from England lifting most COVID-19 mitigation measures won't be seen for at least another week-and-a-half.  

'The data at present is looking good for at least the summer,' Professor Paul Hunter from the University of East Anglia, told the BBC.

'[The] figures do not of course include any impact of last Monday's end of restrictions. It will not be until about next Friday before the data includes the impact of this change.'

Although scientists are surprised by the dramatic decline, they have several theories as to why infections have fallen.

One reason could be that testing numbers have declined. In the last week, the number of daily tests has dropped 24 percent from 1,074,493 to 810,495, government data show, and have declined from a record-high since March. 

'A lot of the people who are becoming symptomatic are becoming more mildly symptomatic because they're younger people or they're people who have been vaccinated,' Dr Scott Gottlieb, former commissioner of the U.S. Food and Drug Administration, told CNBC's Squawk Box on Monday.

'So those people aren't presenting for testing.'

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