Packers vs. Bears odds, spread, line, predictions: 2021 NFL picks, Week 6 best bets from model on 125-83 run

Packers vs. Bears odds, spread, line, predictions: 2021 NFL picks, Week 6 best bets from model on 125-83 run
Packers vs. Bears odds, spread, line, predictions: 2021 NFL picks, Week 6 best bets from model on 125-83 run

The Green Bay Packers have won four games straight since getting blown out by the New Orleans Saints in their 2021 season-opener. They're in control of the NFC North standings and will face the 3-2 Chicago Bears on Sunday. The Bears are riding a two-game winning streak with Justin Fields under center and hope to gain ground on the division leaders.

Kickoff from Soldier Field is set for 1 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists Green Bay as a six-point road favorite. The over-under for total points is 44 in the latest Packers vs. Bears odds. Before making any Bears vs. Packers picks or NFL predictions, make sure to check out the NFL analysis and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,900 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. It went a sizzling 24-14 on top-rated NFL picks last season, returning more than $800. The model also enters Week 6 of the 2021 season on an incredible 125-83 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has simulated Packers vs. Bears 10,000 times and just revealed its NFL expert picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several Week 6 NFL odds and betting lines for Bears vs. Packers:

Packers vs. Bears spread: Packers -6 Packers vs. Bears over-under: 44 points Packers vs. Bears money line: Packers -240, Bears +200 GB: Packers are 10-1 straight-up in their last 11 road games against the Bears CHI: Under has hit in five of the Bears' last six games 

Featured Game | Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers

Why the Packers can cover

The Packers opened up the year with a disastrous blowout loss but have returned to form since then. Quarterback Aaron Rodgers' connection with wide receiver Davante Adams has had a lot to do with that success. While Rodgers' numbers are down, Adams leads the NFL in receptions (42) and receiving yards (579). Chicago's pass defense has been solid in 2021, but one of the league's best duos could challenge its secondary.

The Bears have won two straight games with Fields, but their offense is still questionable. The rookie quarterback has completed just 51.4 percent of his passes and has thrown one touchdown with two interceptions. Running back David Montgomery is set to miss an extended period with a knee injury and backup Damien Williams is out with COVID-19.

Why the Bears can cover 

The Bears are a respectable 3-2 against the spread this year and can benefit from home-field advantage against the visitors. The Packers got blown out on the road in Week 1 and haven't pulled off a convincing win away from home this season. Green Bay won its road games in Weeks 3 and 5 by a total of five points.

While the Packers have given up fewer yards per contest, their secondary has been depleted by the loss of star cornerback Jaire Alexander (shoulder). If the hosts keep the score low,

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