Saints vs. Seahawks odds, line, spread: Monday Night Football picks, predictions from model on 125-85 run

Saints vs. Seahawks odds, line, spread: Monday Night Football picks, predictions from model on 125-85 run
Saints vs. Seahawks odds, line, spread: Monday Night Football picks, predictions from model on 125-85 run

The New Orleans Saints will try to pick up momentum off their bye week when they face the Seattle Seahawks on Monday Night Football. The Saints (3-2) won two of three entering the bye and will have had more than two weeks off. However, this is their fifth road trip of the season after their opener against Green Bay was moved to Jacksonville because of Hurricane Ida. The Seahawks (2-4) are dealing with the loss of quarterback Russell Wilson to a finger injury that required surgery, but their defensive struggles have been the biggest story. They have lost consecutive games entering Week 7, including a 23-20 overtime setback to the Pittsburgh Steelers last week

Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET at Seattle's Lumen Field. New Orleans is a four-point favorite in the latest Saints vs. Seahawks odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the Over-Under for total points scored is 42. Before locking in any Seahawks vs. Saints picks, you need to check out the NFL predictions and analysis from the red-hot SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,700 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. It went a sizzling 24-14 on top-rated NFL picks last season, returning more than $800. The model also enters Week 7 of the 2021 season on an incredible 125-85 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has broken down Saints vs. Seahawks on Monday Night Football and just released its coveted picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Seahawks vs. Saints on MNF:  

Saints vs. Seahawks spread: New Orleans -4 Saints vs. Seahawks over-under: 42 points  Saints vs. Seahawks money line: New Orleans -210, Seattle +175  NO: Saints are 5-2 against the spread in the last seven meetings between the teams  SEA: Under has hit in three of last four Seahawks games

Featured Game | Seattle Seahawks vs. New Orleans Saints

Why the Saints can cover

New Orleans will be well-rested and is 10-4 against the spread in its past 14 when coming off a bye. Quarterback Jameis Winston has 892 passing yards, with 12 TDs and three interceptions, and faces a Seattle defense that allows an NFL-worst 433.2 yards per game. The Seahawks are equally vulnerable against the pass (28th) and the run (30th), and Winston should keep the defense off-balance. He has the NFL's highest passer rating on play-action passes (148.6) and the Seahawks will need to account for running back Alvin Kamara, who has 481 total yards and four touchdowns.

The absence of receiver Michael Thomas has hurt, but Marquez Callaway stepped up with four catches for 85 yards and two touchdowns last week. The Saints are 8-1 against the spread in their last nine Week 7 games and the New Orleans defense is allowing just 18.2 points per game, third-fewest in the NFL. It is particularly strong against the run, allowing just 79 yards per game (second). Seattle quarterback Geno Smith will be forced to step up Monday, and the Saints have nine interceptions already this season.      

Why the Seahawks can cover

The underdog is 4-1 against the spread in the last five meetings between these franchises. The Seattle defense has struggled but has playmakers, and Winston has been known for his mistakes. Linebacker Bobby Wagner is tied for the NFL lead with 72 tackles, Jamal Adams (43 tackles, three for loss) is disruptive, and fellow safety Quandre Diggs has two interceptions. With Thomas out and Deonte Harris ailing, the only real threat is Kamara, who is averaging just 3.9 yards per carry. Winston has been cautious, which has limited a New Orleans passing game that ranks 31st in the NFL at 169.4 yards per game.

The Seahawks have 11 sacks, led by Darrell Taylor's four, and four fumble recoveries. The offense will be without QB Russell Wilson after he had finger surgery, but Geno Smith (209 yards, one TD last week) has excellent receivers to rely on in DK Metcalf (441 yards, five touchdowns) and Tyler Lockett (425 yards and three touchdowns). Smith is 5-1 ATS in his career in primetime and faces a Saints defense that is 23rd in the league against

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