The Atlanta Falcons and the New Orleans Saints are set to square off in an NFC South matchup at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday at Caesars Superdome. New Orleans is 5-2 overall and 2-1 at home, while the Falcons are 3-4 overall and 2-1 on the road. Atlanta fell 19-13 to the Carolina Panthers in Week 8. Meanwhile, New Orleans scored a win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday, winning 36-27.
The Saints have won the last three games between the teams. New Orleans is favored by six points in the latest Saints vs. Falcons odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 41.5. Before entering any Falcons vs. Saints picks, you'll want to see the NFL predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,800 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters Week 9 of the 2021 season on an incredible 128-86 run on top-rated NFL picks that date back to the 2017 season.
The model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has set its sights on Saints vs. Falcons. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NFL betting lines for Falcons vs. Saints:
Saints vs. Falcons spread: Saints -6 Saints vs. Falcons over-under: 41.5 pointsFeatured Game | New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons
Matt Ryan threw two interceptions with only 5.41 yards per attempt with one TD pass against Carolina as he was limited to 146 passing yards. The Falcons allowed the Panthers to rush for 203 yards. Atlanta managed only 213 yards of offense. Atlanta failed in its first attempt to go above .500 since 2017.
The Falcons come into Week 9 with the second-fewest rushing touchdowns in the NFL, with only three on the season. Cordarrelle Patterson is one of four running backs with seven games of 60-plus scrimmage yards this season. Kyle Pitts ranks second among rookies in receiving yards (484).
What you need to know about the SaintsTrevor Siemian passed for 159 yards and a TD last week and will start against Atlanta. Jameis Winston (knee) is out of the season. Tre'Quan Smith caught his first TD pass of the season and had a TD catch in his last meeting with the Falcons.
Alvin Kamara had 76 scrimmage yards and a rushing TD in Week 8. Sean Payton has a 20-8 record vs. Atlanta. New Orleans ranks third in the league in rushing touchdowns allowed, with only four on the season.
How to make Falcons vs. Saints picksThe model is leaning over on the total, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Saints vs. Falcons? And which side of the spread hits more than 50 percent of the time?
