The Indianapolis Colts may be under the .500 mark at 4-5, but each of the Colts' four victories have come against teams with losing records, including last week's 45-30 home triumph over the New York Jets, who entered the contest at 2-5. Indianapolis will attempt to go five-for-five on Sunday when it hosts a 2-6 Jacksonville Jaguars team coming off a huge upset victory over the Buffalo Bills. The Colts are 10.5-point favorites in the latest Week 10 NFL odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and many will jump on them with their NFL survivor pool picks.
Other favorites that could attract attention for NFL knockout pool picks include the Bills (-13 against the Jets), Arizona Cardinals (-10 against the Carolina Panthers) and Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-9.5 against the Washington Football Team). Before making any Week 10 NFL survivor picks, you need to see which team the red-hot SportsLine Projection Model just went all-in on.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,600 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters Week 10 of the 2021 season on an incredible 128-88 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
It also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
The model can be used to crush the survivor pool format, as the team winning the most model simulations each week is 8-1. The 49ers in Week 1 (75 percent), Buccaneers in Week 2 (79 percent), Cardinals and Ravens in Week 3 (79 percent), Bills in Week 4 (87 percent), Patriots in Week 5 (78 percent), Colts in Week 6 (81 percent), Cards in Week 7 (84 percent) and Rams in Week 8 (91 percent) were winners for survivor contestants who used those teams over the first eight weeks. You can only see who the model is backing in Week 10 at SportsLine.
Top Week 10 NFL survivor pool predictionsFor Week 10, the model is shying away from the Dallas Cowboys against the Atlanta Falcons. In a 40-39 loss at Dallas in Week 2 last season, Atlanta led 20-0 after one quarter and was ahead 39-24 with five minutes remaining before an epic collapse that included a horrifically-executed attempt to recover an onside kick that led to the game-winning field goal. Matt Ryan was superb in that contest, throwing for 273 yards and four touchdowns without an interception.
The 36-year-old Ryan also had a strong effort in Atlanta's 27-25 upset victory at New Orleans last week, completing 23-of-30 pass attempts for 343 yards with two TDs and no picks. A former NFL MVP, Ryan hasn't shown any signs of slowing down, as he has recorded four 300-yard performances with at least two scoring passes in six of his last seven games and only three interceptions over his past six contests. Even though the Cowboys are 3-1 at home this season, the Falcons are too dangerous for the model's projections this week.
How to make Week 10 NFL survivor pool picksInstead, the model is backing a team that's thriving on the road this season. Picking this team not only will get you to Week 11, it also will put you in the optimal position to go deep in your NFL survivor pool. The time to pick this team is now, and you can only see the Week 10 play over at SportsLine.
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