The Kansas City Chiefs will visit the Las Vegas Raiders for a battle between AFC West teams trying to find consistency on Sunday Night Football. The AFC West is wide-open, with all four teams boasting five victories and the Raiders and Chargers already through their respective bye weeks. Las Vegas has struggled with off-the-field issues, while reigning AFC champion Kansas City has been turning the ball over at an alarming rate. The Chiefs (5-4) have won two games in a row, including a gritty 13-7 victory last Sunday against the Packers, who were missing reigning league MVP Aaron Rodgers. The Raiders (5-3) were surprised by the Giants in a 23-16 setback in Week 9, and both teams are trying to gain some momentum with a big victory on Sunday Night Football.
Kickoff is set for 8:20 p.m. ET at Allegiant Stadium. Kansas City is a 2.5-point favorite in the latest Chiefs vs. Raiders odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the Over-Under for total points scored is 52. Before you lock in any Raiders vs. Chiefs picks, you need to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,600 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters Week 10 of the 2021 season on an incredible 128-88 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has broken down Sunday night's Chiefs vs. Raiders matchup and just locked in its SNF picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Now, here are several NFL odds and betting lines and trends for Chiefs vs. Raiders:
Chiefs vs. Raiders spread: Kansas City -2.5 Chiefs vs. Raiders over-under: 52 points Chiefs vs. Raiders money line: Kansas City -145, Las Vegas +125 KC: Chiefs are 11-9 against the spread on the road since 2019 LV: Raiders are 9-5 against the spread in division games since 2019Featured Game | Las Vegas Raiders vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Over the past four games, Kansas City's defense has been strong. The unit has allowed just 311 yards per game over that span after giving up 437 per contest through the first five. It is yielding an average of just 16 points in those four games. Derek Carr threw two interceptions last week, including one returned for a TD, and has been sacked 18 times. End Chris Jones (three sacks) will bring the pressure, while Tyrann Mathieu (two interceptions, one TD) can make plays from his safety spot.
The road team won both meetings last season, and Kansas City is 43-27-1 against the spread on the road under Andy Reid (since 2013). The offense hasn't been lighting up the scoreboard, but it still has plenty of talent and has been putting up yards (393 per game, seventh in NFL). Patrick Mahomes is 5-1 against the Raiders in his career and has 2,534 yards and 20 TDs this season. He has 10 interceptions but just one over the past two games. Receiver Tyreek Hill (68 catches for 772 yards) and tight end Travis Kelce (54 for 628) remain devastating weapons.
Why the Raiders can coverThe home team is 7-2 against the number in the last nine meetings between these teams. The offense has suffered from the loss of receiver Henry Ruggs and coach Jon Gruden, but the defense is sturdy. Las Vegas ranks fifth against the pass (207 yards per game) and is 10th in total defense (340). It has just 10 takeaways (15th), but the Chiefs have a league-high 19 turnovers.
The Raiders are 3-1 against the spread as underdogs this season, and quarterback Derek Carr is 9-1-1 ATS in his career as a home underdog in primetime. Receiver Hunter Renfrow (45 catches for 448 yards) and tight end Darren Waller (40 for 470) get open consistently and should find holes in a defense that ranks 21st against the pass (260 yards per game).
How to make Chiefs vs. Raiders picksThe model has scrutinized Sunday Night Football from all sides. It's leaning over on the point total, with the model suggesting both quarterbacks will top 300 yards. It is also saying that one side of the spread cashes more than 50 percent of the time. You can only get the model's Chiefs vs. Raiders
