Chargers vs. Steelers odds, spread: Sunday Night Football picks, predictions from NFL model on 128-89 run

Chargers vs. Steelers odds, spread: Sunday Night Football picks, predictions from NFL model on 128-89 run
Chargers vs. Steelers odds, spread: Sunday Night Football picks, predictions from NFL model on 128-89 run

The Pittsburgh Steelers (5-3-1) and Los Angeles Chargers (5-4) will face off in an primetime AFC battle on Sunday Night Football. Pittsburgh and Detroit finished their Week 10 matchup in a 16-16 tie. The Chargers couldn't win their second straight game, falling to the Minnesota Vikings, 27-20, last week. The under hit in both teams' game last Sunday.

Kickoff from SoFi Stadium is set for 8:20 p.m. ET. Los Angeles is favored by 5.5 points in the latest Chargers vs. Steelers odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is 47.5. Before locking in your Steelers vs. Chargers picks, be sure to check out the NFL predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model. 

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,500 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters Week 11 of the 2021 season on an incredible 128-89 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has simulated Steelers vs. Chargers 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NFL picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's Chargers vs. Steelers picks. Here are several NFL odds and SNF betting lines for Steelers vs. Chargers:

Chargers vs. Steelers spread: Los Angeles -5.5 Chargers vs. Steelers over-under: 47.5 points  Chargers vs. Steelers money line: Los Angeles -260, Pittsburgh +210  LAC: Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss  PIT: Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings

Featured Game | Los Angeles Chargers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Why the Chargers can cover

Quarterback Justin Herbert is already one of the top signal-callers in just his second NFL season. Herbert is sixth in the NFL in passing yards (2,545), tied for sixth in passing touchdowns (19), and is fifth in QBR (63.5). The Oregon product has a 134.0 passer rating on throws 20-plus yards downfield, which is first in the league. He has tossed a passing touchdown in every game this year.

The 2020 sixth overall pick threw four touchdowns against the Kansas City Chiefs and Cleveland Browns, and both games resulted in a win for Los Angeles. In those matchups, Herbert combined to go 52-of-81 for 679 yards with eight passing touchdowns and zero interceptions. The second-year quarterback will face a Pittsburgh defense that has played zone on 75 percent of its defensive plays. Herbert has the fourth-highest passer rating in the NFL against zone (98.4). 

Why the Steelers can cover

Rookie Najee Harris is an all-purpose back for Pittsburgh. The Alabama product is second in the league in carries (176) and sixth in rushing yards (646). Harris is also the third leading pass-catcher for the Steelers with 44 receptions for 317 yards. The 2021 first-round pick has scored six total touchdowns.

Diontae Johnson leads Pittsburgh with 52 receptions for 613 yards and three touchdowns. The Toledo product has constantly made big plays for the Steelers' offense with nine passes of 20-plus yards downfield. Johnson averages a team-high 76.6 receiving yards per game and has seen double-digit targets six times this year. 

How to make Chargers vs. Steelers picks

SportsLine's model is leaning under on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 46 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the model's Steelers vs. Chargers picks at SportsLine. 

So who wins Steelers vs. Chargers on Sunday Night Football?

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