Buccaneers vs. Giants odds, spread: Monday Night Football picks, predictions from NFL model on 128-89 run

Buccaneers vs. Giants odds, spread: Monday Night Football picks, predictions from NFL model on 128-89 run
Buccaneers vs. Giants odds, spread: Monday Night Football picks, predictions from NFL model on 128-89 run

The New York Giants (3-6) are at the bottom of the NFC East and will face the NFC South's top team in a Week 11 matchup on Monday Night Football. They'll visit the reigning Super Bowl champion Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-3) at Raymond James Stadium. The Buccaneers have dropped back-to-back games against the New Orleans Saints and Washington Football Team. Can they recover from their latest defeats and defend their home turf?

Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. Tampa Bay is favored by 11 points in the latest Buccaneers vs. Giants odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is 50. Before locking in your Giants vs. Buccaneers picks, make sure you check out the NFL predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,500 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters Week 11 of the 2021 season on an incredible 128-89 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has simulated Giants vs. Buccaneers 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NFL picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's Monday Night Football picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Giants vs. Buccaneers:

Buccaneers vs. Giants spread: Buccaneers -11  Buccaneers vs. Giants over-under: 50 points   Buccaneers vs. Giants money line: Tampa Bay -550, New York +400   NYG: The Giants are 5-0 ATS in their previous five road games against the Buccaneers  TB: The Buccaneers are 5-0 straight up in their last five home games

Featured Game | Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New York Giants

Why the Giants can cover

Surprisingly, the Giants are one of the NFL's better road teams against the spread. In fact, they're 3-1 against the number away from home and have won straight-up in two of their previous three games. 

The Giants rebounded after losing to the Los Angeles Rams by thrashing the Carolina Panthers, 25-3, in Week 7. They nearly upset the Kansas City Chiefs in a 20-17 loss the following week before taking down the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 9. The Bucs' secondary hasn't been particularly effective as of late, giving up 471 passing yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions in its last two losses. The Giants could have a shot if Daniel Jones has similar success to Taylor Heinicke and Trevor Siemian. New York is coming off a bye week.

Why the Buccaneers can cover

Tampa Bay is in a downward spiral, but its home performances are often elite. The Bucs are a perfect 4-0 straight-up at home in 2021. They're also 3-1 against the spread at Raymond James Stadium. 

The Bucs won their home season-opener against the Dallas Cowboys by just two points but have dominated visiting teams since then. Tampa Bay's last three home wins were by an average of 28.6 points. Tom Brady's receiving corps is dynamic, and his team's league-leading marks in passing yards per game (315.6) and passing touchdowns (27) are proof of that. If the Buccaneers' passing attack clicks and their elite, run-stopping defense shows up, they can win a fourth consecutive home game by double-digits.

How to make Giants vs. Buccaneers picks 

SportsLine's model is leaning over the total, projecting the teams to combine for 50 points. The model also says one side of the spread cashes in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the model's Giants vs. Buccaneers picks at SportsLine

So who wins Giants vs. Buccaneers on Monday Night Football?

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