Week 13 of the 2021 NFL schedule will kick off with the Dallas Cowboys taking on the New Orleans Saints on Thursday Night Football. The Cowboys lead the NFC East at 7-4, while the Saints are still firmly in the hunt for a playoff spot despite a 5-6 start. Despite Cowboys head coach Mike McCarthy testing positive for COVID-19, there are plenty of Cowboys vs. Saints NFL player props to target.
Cowboys wide receiver CeeDee Lamb was a full participant at practice all week after missing last week because of a concussion, and Caesars Sportsbook lists his over-under for receiving yards at 64.5 in the latest NFL props. Meanwhile, Taysom Hill is expected to take over as the starting quarterback for the Saints and if you're looking for a big payout, he's listed at +850 to score the first touchdown of the game as a runner or receiver in the latest NFL prop picks. Before making any NFL prop bets for Thursday Night Football, you need to see the Saints vs. Cowboys prop predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,100 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. It went a sizzling 24-14 on top-rated NFL picks last season, returning more than $800. The model also enters Week 13 of the 2021 season on an incredible 131-94 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
It can also be used to crush NFL prop picks. Last season, its NFL prop bets went 389-310, returning over $3,000.
With Cowboys vs. Saints on Thursday Night Football approaching, the model has evaluated the NFL player props from Caesars and found five strong bets. You can only see them here.Top NFL player prop bets for Cowboys vs. Saints
After simulating Saints vs. Cowboys 10,000 times, the model predicts that Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott goes over 282.5 passing yards. Even without Lamb and Amari Cooper (COVID-19) last week on Thanksgiving, Prescott put forth a solid effort in a 36-33 overtime loss to the Raiders. Prescott threw for 375 yards and two touchdowns, getting 100-yard days from Cedrick Wilson and Michael Gallup while throwing touchdowns to Dalton Schultz and Sean McKeon.
Now, Lamb is likely back and Cooper has been activated from the COVID-19 list (though he's still listed as questionable). Prescott is averaging 293.2 passing yards per game this season and has topped 282.5 in eight of the last 13 games that he's finished. The model is predicting he hits that total again on Thursday Night Football and goes for 286 yards.
SportsLine's NFL model also says Saints wide receiver Marquez Callaway goes over 30.5 receiving yards. After a head-turning preseason, Callaway got off to a slow start with just three catches for 22 yards the first two weeks, but he's finally fulfilling the role that many envisioned during the exhibition games as one of the top options in New Orleans' passing offense.
Callaway has averaged five targets per game in his last nine contests and is also averaging 14.7 yards per reception this season. His average target depth (13.9 yards) is ninth-best among NFL receivers. While installing Hill as the starter isn't likely to make the Saints more prolific as a passing offense, it will drag extra defenders into the box and give Callaway opportunities