Chiefs vs. Bills odds, line, how to watch, live stream: Model reveals NFL picks, Divisional Round prediction

Chiefs vs. Bills odds, line, how to watch, live stream: Model reveals NFL picks, Divisional Round prediction
Chiefs vs. Bills odds, line, how to watch, live stream: Model reveals NFL picks, Divisional Round prediction

The second round of the 2022 NFL playoffs will conclude on Sunday with a rematch of last season's AFC Championship Game as the Buffalo Bills visit the Kansas City Chiefs. The two teams also played in Week 5, with the Bills waltzing into Kansas City and earning a 38-20 victory after losing twice to the Chiefs the previous season. Patrick Mahomes against Josh Allen is a dream quarterback matchup, and both offenses are coming off of 40-point outbursts during Wild Card Weekend. You can see what happens between the Chiefs and Bills in the 2022 NFL playoffs when you stream the game on Paramount+.

Kickoff from Arrowhead Stadium is set for at 6:30 p.m. ET. Kansas City is favored by one point in the latest Bills vs. Chiefs odds in the latest odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over-under is 54. Sunday's showdown will be televised nationally on CBS and streamed live on Paramount+ with their must-have Premium plan.

Paramount+ now has levels of membership so you can watch your local NFL on CBS matchups and much more. The Premium Plan is $9.99 per month and you can watch your local CBS live stream, including plenty of sports like SEC on CBS, NFL on CBS, and the PGA Tour, with no ads, on demand and the ability to download episodes for offline viewing. Both plans come with a free week to start and include the NFL on CBS, so sign up now here.

How to watch Bills vs. Chiefs Chiefs vs. Bills date: Sunday, Jan. 23 Chiefs vs. Bills time: 6:30 p.m. ET Chiefs vs. Bills TV channel: CBS  Chiefs vs. Bills live stream: Paramount+ Divisional Round NFL picks for Chiefs vs. Bills

Before you tune in to Sunday's Bills vs. Chiefs game, you need to see the NFL picks from SportsLine's advanced computer model. The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,500 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters the divisional round of the 2021 NFL playoffs on an incredible 137-97 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. Amazingly, it hasn't missed a top-rated pick since Week 14 of the regular season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

For Bills vs. Chiefs, the model is backing Buffalo to cover the spread. Both quarterbacks are coming into the matchup red-hot after Allen threw for 308 yards and five touchdowns in a win over the Patriots, while Mahomes threw for 404 yards and five scores in a win over the Steelers. However, it was Allen who got the better of the last head-to-head matchup.

The two teams met in Week 5, when Allen went 15-for-26 for 315 yards and three scores and also rushed for 59 yards and a score. Mahomes went 33-for-54 for 272 yards while throwing two interceptions and losing a fumble. The Bills had the No. 1 scoring defense and No. 1 total defense in the NFL this season and even with Mahomes playing better football, they're likely to pose problems.

The model is predicting that Allen throws for nearly 270 yards and multiple touchdowns while adding nearly 50 rushing yards. It's also predicting that the Bills force two turnovers, which allows Buffalo to cover in over 50 percent of simulations.

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