The Kansas City Chiefs will try to earn their third consecutive trip to the Super Bowl when they take on the Cincinnati Bengals in the 2022 AFC Championship Game on Sunday. The Chiefs (14-5), the second seed in the NFL playoff picture, advanced with a thrilling 42-36 overtime win over the Buffalo Bills. Down by three with 13 seconds to go, the Chiefs needed just two plays to kick the game-tying field goal before winning in overtime. The fourth-seeded Bengals (12-7), who knocked off top-seeded Tennessee 19-16 on a last-second field goal in the 2022 NFL playoffs, are making their first AFC title game appearance since 1988.
Kickoff from Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Mo., is set for 3 p.m. ET. Kansas City is a seven-point favorite in the latest Chiefs vs. Bengals odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 54.5. Before you make any Bengals vs. Chiefs picks or predictions, make sure you check out what SportsLine's top Chiefs expert, Larry Hartstein, has to say.
A former lead writer for Covers and The Linemakers, Hartstein combines a vast network of Vegas sources with an analytical approach he honed while working for Pro Football Focus. Entering the 2021 campaign, Hartstein was 351-291 all-time on NFL sides, including 326-280 against the spread. He is returning more than $2,200 for $100 bettors.
In addition, Hartstein has an amazing 24-8 record on his last 32 against-the-spread picks involving Kansas City, returning $1,500. Anyone who has followed him is way up.
Kansas City continues to prove it is never out of any game when Patrick Mahomes is its quarterback. Last week against the Buffalo Bills, Mahomes completed 33 of 44 passes (75 percent) for 378 yards and three touchdowns for a 123.1 rating. He also rushed for a career-high 69 yards and a score. He now has 25 TDs and five interceptions for a 107.2 rating in 10 career postseason starts. That's the most playoff touchdown passes ever by a quarterback in his first 10 starts.
Running back Jerick McKinnon had 78 yards from scrimmage, including 54 receiving, last week. He has 346 total yards from scrimmage in his last three postseason games. In two playoff games this season, McKinnon has carried 22 times for 85 yards (3.9 average) and converted five first downs. He has also caught 11 of 13 passes for 135 yards (12.3 average) and one touchdown.Why the Bengals can cover
Despite that, Kansas City is not a lock to cover the Bengals vs. Chiefs spread. That's because Cincinnati has shown no fear and is 2-0 this postseason after having gone 0-8 from 1990 until the start of the 2022 NFL playoffs. Quarterback Joe Burrow completed 28 of 37 attempts (75.7 percent) for 348 yards and a 93.1 rating last week in the win over the Titans. He has a 101.4 rating this postseason and set franchise records in passing yards (4,611) and touchdown passes (34) during the regular season.
Running back Joe Mixon had 105 yards from scrimmage, including 54 yards rushing and a rushing touchdown against Tennessee. During the regular season, Mixon ranked third in the NFL with a career-high 1,205 rushing yards and fourth with a career-high 13 rushing touchdowns. He will be looking for his fifth game in a row with 75 yards from scrimmage. He had 86 yards