Miami's offseason trade for wide receiver Tyreek Hill has paid off so far, but lost in his success has been the play of fellow receiver Jaylen Waddle. After a rookie campaign in which he finished with 104 catches for 1,015 yards and six touchdowns, he has kept up his production, even with Hill on the field. Over the last two weeks, Waddle has 15 receptions for 273 yards and two touchdowns, but can he keep it up in NFL DFS lineups and NFL DFS stacks on Thursday Night Football?
Heading into Week 4, the Bengals had only allowed 378 yards to opposing wide receivers, the fourth-lowest total in the league. The Bengals have a strong cast of wide receivers in the NFL DFS player pool as well, starting with another 2021 rookie breakout, Ja'Marr Chase. Before you make your NFL DFS picks for Dolphins vs. Bengals on Thursday Night Football, be sure to see the NFL DFS advice, strategy and player projections from SportsLine daily Fantasy expert Mike McClure.
McClure is a legendary professional DFS player with over $2 million in career winnings. His methodology has led to enormous cashes on FanDuel and DraftKings. He took down two high-stakes tournaments on FanDuel in 2020 and recorded a pair of top-10 finishes in tournaments with over 130,000 entrants on DraftKings. His lineups also finished inside the top 1% in more than a dozen other tournaments.
He uses a powerful prediction model that simulates every snap of NFL action, taking factors such as matchups, statistical trends and injuries into account. This allows him to find the best DFS values that he shares only with members at SportsLine.
Last week, McClure featured Browns running back Nick Chubb in his Thursday night NFL DFS picks. The result: Chubb rumbled for 113 yards on 23 carries with a touchdown in a 29-17 win against Cleveland. Now, McClure has turned his attention to Dolphins vs. Bengals and locked in his top daily Fantasy football picks. You can only see his picks and analysis at SportsLine.Top NFL DFS picks for Thursday Night Football
We can tell you that one of McClure's top NFL DFS picks for Thursday Night Football is Bengals wide receiver Tee Higgins. The former second-round pick had the best game of his season in Week 3, when he finished with five catches for 93 yards, and had what might have been a beautiful first quarter jump-ball touchdown called back. This season, he has 13 total receptions for 191 yards and a touchdown.
In Week 2 against Dallas, quarterback Joe Burrow only finished with 199 passing yards, but Higgins came away with 71 of them after he had six catches on 10 targets. The last time he played Miami, Higgins also had a significant share of targets and caught 5-of-8 for 56 yards. Chase has seen a decline in receiving yards the last two weeks while Higgins has seen an increase.
Part of McClure's optimal NFL DFS strategy also includes rostering Bengals running back Joe Mixon, who has been behind his usual rushing pace, but has 13 catches on 20 targets for 103 yards this season. In two previous games against Miami, Mixon has 43 carries and five receptions for 188 total yards and a touchdown.
The Bengals' offensive line hasn't looked as strong as the team hoped it would, and Cincinnati's running backs are getting stuffed at the line 32 percent of the time, the second-highest rate in the NFL. Where Mixon may do the most damage on Thursday Night Football is in the passing game. Miami's high-octane offense can put up points, and if the Bengals have to throw to keep pace, the Dolphins could be vulnerable since they've allowed opposing running backs to reel in 20 receptions for 155 yards and a touchdown (sixth-most in the NFL). You can see the rest of McClure's NFL