Through the first three weeks of the 2022 NFL schedule, there have been 19 underdogs who have won outright. If you're not working a few upsets into your Week 4 NFL office pool picks, chances are you'll struggle. Which Week 4 NFL upsets should you target and which favorites can you rely on as you make your Week 4 NFL confidence pool picks? It's another week where oddsmakers are expecting close battles, with only one team favored by more than 5.5 points in the current Week 4 NFL odds at Caesars Sportsbook.
Green Bay is a 10.5-point favorite over New England with Mac Jones out for the Patriots, so does that mean you should roll with the Packers in your Week 4 NFL pool picks? Which underdogs should you target to add variance into your Week 4 NFL picks? Before you make your Week 4 NFL pick'em predictions, you need to see the Week 4 NFL football pool picks from SportsLine's proven model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 4 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 139-103 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
More importantly for NFL confidence pool players, the model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has simulated the entire Week 4 NFL schedule 10,000 times and generated its optimal NFL pick'em plays. Go to SportsLine to see them now.
Top Week 4 NFL office pool predictionsOne of the top Week 4 NFL predictions from the model: The Cowboys get a comfortable win at home as 3-point favorites against the Commanders. After losing starting quarterback Dak Prescott to a thumb injury during a 19-3 loss to the Buccaneers in Week 1, the Cowboys looked like their season might be taking a quick turn for the worst. However, the coaching staff seems to have found a formula that works with Cooper Rush filling in.
Rush has managed the game effectively, completing 62.7 percent of his passes and averaging 6.9 yards per pass attempt without turning the football over once in 141 snaps at quarterback. Meanwhile, the Cowboys have utilized the one-two punch of Ezekiel Elliott and Tony Pollard to control the tempo of the game while wreaking havoc on the defensive side of the ball with pressure.
The Cowboys have 11 sacks in their last two games and the Commanders have allowed Carson Wentz to be sacked 15 times in the first three weeks. The model predicts nearly four sacks on average for Dallas' defense, which helps the Cowboys win outright in nearly 70 percent of simulations. See the rest of the model's Week 4 NFL pool picks here.
How to make Week 4 NFL office pool picksThe model also made the call on every other Week 4 NFL game and has strong picks for potentially close matchups like Cowboys vs. Commanders and Bears vs. Giants. It's also calling for several big favorites to struggle more than expected and several shocking teams to hang tough. You can only see all of the model's NFL pool picks here.
So who should you pick in every Week 4 NFL game? And which underdogs should you back? Visit SportsLine now to get optimal NFL office pool picks, all from the advanced
