When looking at the Week 4 NFL spreads, there's one game that jumps out, Packers vs. Patriots. Green Bay is a 10.5-home favorite in the NFL odds at Caesars Sportsbook, which makes the Pack highly appealing for your Week 4 NFL survivor pool picks. But should you utilize a good team like Green Bay this early in the season for NFL knockout pool picks, especially when last week's Chiefs vs. Colts game showed that there are no guarantees?
The strategy behind saving Green Bay for a later date is that there are other matchups on the Week 4 NFL schedule that could be just as safe for Week 4 NFL pool picks. Sometimes you may just need to ignore the NFL lines since they are more concerned with receiving wagers than projected margins of victory. Before finalizing any Week 4 NFL survivor picks, see which team the red-hot SportsLine Projection Model just went all-in on.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 4 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 139-103 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 4 NFL odds from Caesars and locked in its Week 4 survivor pool pick. You can only see who the model is backing this week at SportsLine.
Top Week 4 NFL survivor pool predictionsIn Week 4 of the 2022 NFL season, we can tell you the model is shying away from the Carolina Panthers (1-2), even though they are home favorites over the Arizona Cardinals (1-2). This is the third matchup between former Oklahoma teammates and Heisman-winning quarterbacks Baker Mayfield and Kyler Murray. Murray owns a 2-0 edge and has five touchdowns versus one turnover in those contests, while Mayfield has the same number of turnovers (four) as touchdowns.
The state of Arizona hasn't been the friendly confines for the Cardinals, as they've lost seven straight home games, but they've had much better success in away games. They've gone a remarkable 9-1 over their last 10 regular-season road contests, including their thrilling comeback overtime win at Vegas in Week 2. Meanwhile, Carolina has felt the pressure of being the betting favorite, losing seven straight games outright as the favorite. Those are just a couple of the reasons as to why the model is steering clear of Carolina in Week 4 and saving the Panthers for down the road. See which team to pick here.
How to make Week 4 NFL survivor pool picksInstead, the model is backing a shocking team that is well-positioned to deliver a win in Week 4. The time to pick this team is now, and you can only see the play over at SportsLine.
Which surprising team is a must-back in your Week 4 survivor pool pick? Visit
