Raymond James Stadium will be the center of the NFL world on Sunday evening. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers host the Kansas City Chiefs in a cross-conference Week 4 battle on Sunday Night Football. Tampa Bay is 2-1 this season, though the Buccaneers suffered a 14-12 loss to the Green Bay Packers last week. Kansas City is also 2-1 this season with a 1-1 road record, falling to the Indianapolis Colts by a three-point margin in Week 3.
Kickoff is at 8:20 p.m. ET. Tampa Bay is favored by one in the latest Chiefs vs. Buccaneers odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 46.5. Before you make any Buccaneers vs. Chiefs picks, you need to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's advanced computer model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 4 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 139-103 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has set its sights on Chiefs vs. Buccaneers and just locked in its picks and Sunday Night Football predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Chiefs vs. Buccaneers:
Chiefs vs. Buccaneers spread: Buccaneers -1 Chiefs vs. Buccaneers over/under: 46.5 points Chiefs vs. Buccaneers money line: Chiefs +105, Buccaneers -125 KC: The Chiefs are 11-12 against the spread in their last 23 games TB: The Buccaneers are 12-10 against the spread in their last 22 games Chiefs vs. Buccaneers picks: See picks hereFeatured Game | Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City has one of the best players in the NFL in Patrick Mahomes at the most important position on the field. Mahomes, a former MVP and four-time Pro Bowl selection, has 857 passing yards, eight touchdown passes and only one interception this season. He ranks in the top eight of the league in completion rate (67.9%) and net yards per pass attempt (7.6), with elite marks elsewhere. Mahomes is No. 4 in the league with a 76.2 QBR and No. 3 in the league with a 112.1 passer rating, with a 14-2 mark in the last 16 games against NFC teams.
With Mahomes on the field, the Chiefs are on a 12-game winning streak against NFC foes, and he is averaging 311.4 passing yards with 42 touchdowns in 16 games against the opposing conference. Mahomes is also backed by an uber-elite pass catcher in Travis Kelce, and the seven-time Pro Bowler has a receiving touchdown in five straight road games. Kelce is No. 6 in the history of the NFL in receiving yards by a tight end (9,286), and he has 30 career 100-yard receiving games, third-most by a tight end in league history.
Why the Buccaneers can coverTampa Bay's defensive prowess is impressive. No team has allowed fewer points than the Buccaneers, giving up only 27 points across three games. The Buccaneers also lead the league in points allowed per drive (0.75), turnovers created (8), and turnover rate (22.2%). Havoc-creation is helpful, but the Buccaneers are also rock-solid, ranking No. 4 in the NFL in yards allowed per game (289.0) and yards allowed per drive (24.1). Tampa Bay is No. 2 in first downs allowed (44), with three passing touchdowns allowed compared to five interceptions.
The Buccaneers are giving up only 4.9 net yards per pass attempt and are yielding only 79.3 rushing yards per game. Tampa Bay has not allowed a rushing touchdown this season and opponents are averaging only 3.8 yards per carry. The Chiefs struggle to run the ball, averaging only 93 yards per game and 4.1 yards per carry, and Tampa Bay can bank on that while attempting to slow Patrick Mahomes.
How to make Chiefs vs. Buccaneers picks on SNFSportsLine's model is leaning Over on the point total, with the model calling for 48 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60% of simulations. You can only see the SNF picks at
