The Denver Broncos (2-2) will have another opportunity to click on offense when they host the Indianapolis Colts (1-2-1) on Thursday Night Football. Denver lost running back Javonte Williams (knee) for the year, but it still surrounds Russell Wilson with talented players like Melvin Gordon, Jerry Jeudy and Courtland Sutton. They are all factoring into many NFL player props for Thursday since the Colts bring the last-ranked offense into town. Jonathan Taylor (ankle) is out, which means you shouldn't select him for any NFL prop bets or Colts vs. Broncos prop picks. Before making any NFL prop bets for Thursday Night Football, you need to see the Broncos vs. Colts NFL prop predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 5 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 140-105 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
It can also be used to crush NFL prop picks. The model entered Week 4 with a 22-10 record on NFL prop picks this season, returning almost $1,000 for $100 players. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
It can also be used to crush NFL prop picks. Last season, its NFL prop bets went 41-29 from Week 7 on, returning over $800.
With Colts vs. Broncos on Thursday Night Football approaching, the model has evaluated the NFL player props from Caesars and found five strong bets. You can only see them here.
Top NFL player prop bets for Broncos vs. ColtsAfter simulating Colts vs. Broncos 10,000 times, the model predicts that Broncos running back Melvin Gordon goes under 53.5 rushing yards at a -119 payout. Yes, Williams is out for the season, but the 29-year-old Gordon has looked over the hill through the early part of this season, averaging just 3.8 yards per carry. He averaged 4.6 yards per attempt in his first two seasons in Denver and his rushing yards have decreased in every game, with just eight yards on three attempts in his last contest.
A big reason why Gordon was seldom used in the game Williams got hurt in is because he fumbled for the fourth time this year. Gordon leads all running backs in fumbles despite ranking 34th in rushing attempts, and not holding onto the ball is the quickest way to lose carries. The model doesn't project Gordon as being a bell-cow back on Thursday since it has him receiving roughly half of Denver's rushing attempts, which won't be enough to reach 54 yards. With a dozen or so carries and a mediocre rushing average, SportsLine's advanced computer model has Gordon finishing with 49 rushing yards on average, giving value to the Under. See other NFL props here.
How to make NFL player prop bets for Broncos vs. ColtsIn addition, the model says another star goes under his total with a plus-money prop payout you'll want to jump on. You need to see the model's analysis before making any Colts vs. Broncos prop bets for Thursday Night Football.
Which Broncos vs. Colts prop bets should you target for Thursday
