Week 5 NFL picks, odds, 2022 best bets from advanced model: This 5-way football parlay would pay out 25-1

Week 5 NFL picks, odds, 2022 best bets from advanced model: This 5-way football parlay would pay out 25-1
Week 5 NFL picks, odds, 2022 best bets from advanced model: This 5-way football parlay would pay out 25-1

Tom Brady will attempt to remain perfect against Atlanta when his Tampa Bay Buccaneers host the Falcons during the Week 5 NFL schedule. Tampa Bay has lost its last two contests, but looks to halt the skid behind Brady, who is 10-0 lifetime versus Atlanta. The future Hall-of-Famer has posted three consecutive four-TD performances against the Falcons and has 28 scoring passes in the 10 career meetings. Tampa Bay is an 8.5-point favorite against Atlanta in the latest Week 5 NFL odds at Caesars Sportsbook. Which Week 5 NFL lines should you target with your Week 5 NFL bets? Before you make any Week 5 NFL picks or NFL parlays, be sure to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 5 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 139-103 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.  

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has locked in five confident NFL best bets for Week 5. If you successfully parlay its picks, you'd be looking at a massive payout of around 25-1. You can only see the model's Week 5 NFL picks at SportsLine

Top Week 5 NFL picks

After simulating every game 10,000 times, the model is high on the Miami Dolphins (-3.5) to win and cover against the New York Jets on Sunday. Miami has won 11 of its last 13 games dating back to Week 9 of last season, with two of the victories coming against New York. The Dolphins have won four straight meetings with the Jets and now have one of the top receivers in the NFL, Tyreek Hill, who leads the league with 477 yards after amassing 160 on 10 catches last week at Cincinnati.

It was the second 100-yard performance in four games this season for Hill, which is bad news for New York's secondary. The Jets have allowed an opposing player to rack up 100 receiving yards in their last three contests, with Pittsburgh rookie wideout George Pickens registering 102 on six catches last week. That is one reason the Dolphins are covering the spread in well over 50% of simulations. See which other NFL parlay picks to make here.

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