Commanders vs. Browns prediction, odds, line, spread: 2023 NFL picks, Week 17 best bets from computer model

Commanders vs. Browns prediction, odds, line, spread: 2023 NFL picks, Week 17 best bets from computer model
Commanders vs. Browns prediction, odds, line, spread: 2023 NFL picks, Week 17 best bets from computer model

The Washington Commanders (7-7-1) will look to keep their postseason hopes alive when they host the Cleveland Browns (6-9) on Sunday at FedEx Field. While a defeat wouldn't entirely knock Washington out of the playoff race, winning on Sunday and in Week 18 would guarantee it a playoff berth. The Browns have already been eliminated from playoff contention as they will miss out on the postseason for the 19th time in the last 20 seasons.

Kickoff is at 1 p.m. ET. Washington is favored by 1.5 points in the latest Commanders vs. Browns odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over/under is set at 41. Before making any Browns vs. Commanders picks, you'll want to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from the proven computer simulation model at SportsLine.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 16 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 157-113 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. The model ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Commanders vs. Browns and just locked in its picks and NFL Week 17 predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Commanders vs. Browns:

Commanders vs. Browns spread: Commanders -1.5 Commanders vs. Browns over/under: 41 points Commanders vs. Browns money line: Washington -130, Cleveland +110 Commanders vs. Browns picks: See picks here

Featured Game | Washington Commanders vs. Cleveland Browns

What you need to know about the Commanders

It was all tied up 7-7 at halftime, but the Commanders were not quite the San Francisco 49ers' equal in the second half when they met this past Saturday. Washington took a hard 37-20 loss against the 49ers. One thing working slightly against Washington was the run-of-the-mill game of their most targeted running back, RB Brian Robinson Jr., who rushed for 58 yards on 22 carries.

Washington is currently sitting in seventh place in the NFC, which would give them the conference's final Wild Card spot in the playoffs. Desperate for a win, head coach Ron Rivera made the switch back to Carson Wentz as the team's starting quarterback. In seven games (six starts) in 2022, Wentz has completed 156 of 248 passes for 1,612 yards, 11 touchdowns, six interceptions, and a quarterback rating of 86.3.

What you need to know about the Browns

Cleveland has gone 2-2 since Deshaun Watson was reinstated from his suspension, but the former Texans quarterback has looked shaky under center. He's completing just 57.7% of his passes after completing over 70% of his attempts in his last season in Houston. He's also thrown just two touchdown passes over these four games, though he did find the endzone once with his legs.

Watson does have the luxury of one of the best backfields in the NFL behind him as Nick Chubb was selected to his fourth straight Pro Bowl and has over 1,500 yards from scrimmage. Kareem Hunt is one of the best No. 2 running backs in the league, while Washington has been gashed on the ground in recent games.  The Commanders have

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