After enjoying a well-earned bye, the Kansas City Chiefs will make their debut in the 2023 NFL playoffs on Saturday. Kansas City will host the Jacksonville Jaguars as part of the Divisional Round NFL schedule, with both teams streaking since their Week 10 meeting. The Chiefs won that game 27-17 and each team is 7-1 since then. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Chiefs as 8.5-point favorites in the latest Divisional Round NFL odds. This is the largest of the NFL spreads this weekend and could be the first of many potential postseason meetings between Patrick Mahomes and Trevor Lawrence. All of the Divisional Round NFL lines are listed below and SportsLine's advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and predictions you need to make the best Divisional Round NFL picks now.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters the Divisional Round of the 2023 NFL playoffs on an incredible 162-113 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 16-6 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of this season.
The model ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Divisional Round 2023 NFL odds and locked in picks for every NFL matchup. Head here to see every pick.
Top Divisional Round NFL predictionsOne of the model's strongest Divisional Round picks is that the Chiefs (-8.5) cover the spread against Jacksonville. Coming off a bye is an advantage for the Chiefs, but playing in Arrowhead Stadium may be the biggest benefit in this matchup for Kansas City. The Chiefs allowed just 15.6 points per game over their last five home games, which includes a 27-17 win versus the Jags in Week 10.
That environment would be tough for any team, but especially for a young one like Jacksonville, which has a quarterback who has looked shaky over the last month. Lawrence's four-interception game in the Wild Card Round was a continuation of his struggles, as he enters the Divisional Round of the NFL playoffs 2023 with four straight games in which he's failed to have more touchdown passes than turnovers.
His counterpart, Mahomes, has been dazzling at home in his postseason career, with 31 total touchdowns compared to just three turnovers. The model sees the trends of both QBs continuing and has Kansas City covering well over 50% of the time. The model also says the Under (53) hits in almost 60% of simulations. See which other teams to pick here.
How to make Divisional Round NFL picksThe model has also made the call on who wins and covers in every other game on the Divisional Round schedule, and it says one underdog wins outright in over 40% of simulations. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.
So which NFL picks can you make with confidence, and which team is a must-back? Check out the latest NFL odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned well over $7,000 since its inception, and find out.
Divisional Round NFL odds, spreads, lines, scheduleGet full NFL picks at SportsLine
Saturday, Jan. 21
Jaguars at Chiefs (-8.5, 52)
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