Andy Reid will try to move up a spot on the all-time postseason wins list by a head coach when his Kansas City Chiefs host the Jacksonville Jaguars in the Divisional Round of the 2023 NFL playoffs on Saturday. Reid is tied with Don Shula for third place with 19 victories and needs one more to pull even with Tom Landry for second behind leader Bill Belichick (31). The Chiefs (14-3), who captured their seventh straight AFC West title this season, have won their last four divisional-round games. Jacksonville (10-8) ended the regular season with five consecutive wins to claim the AFC South crown and rallied from a 27-point deficit to edge the Los Angeles Chargers during Super Wild Card Weekend.
Kickoff from Arrowhead Stadium is set for 4:30 p.m. ET. Kansas City is a nine-point favorite in the latest Chiefs vs. Jaguars odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 52.5. Before locking in any Jaguars vs. Chiefs picks, make sure you check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven projection model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters the Divisional Round of the 2023 NFL playoffs on an incredible 162-113 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 16-6 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of this season.
The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has set its sights on Chiefs vs. Jaguars on Saturday and just locked in its picks and NFL playoff predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the NFL odds and betting lines for Jaguars vs. Chiefs:
Chiefs vs. Jaguars spread: Kansas City -9 Chiefs vs. Jaguars over/under: 52.5 points Chiefs vs. Jaguars money line: Kansas City -550, Jacksonville +400 KC: Chiefs are 1-7-1 against the spread in their last nine home games JAX: Jaguars are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven meetings with Kansas City Chiefs vs. Jaguars picks: See picks hereFeatured Game | Kansas City Chiefs vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Kansas City has many weapons in its aerial attack, but Jacksonville will need to keep a close eye on Travis Kelce. The 33-year-old tight end was third in the league with a career-high 110 receptions, eighth with 1,338 receiving yards and second with a personal-best 12 touchdown catches, leading all tight ends in each category. Kelce is fifth in NFL playoff history with 1,291 receiving yards and has 54 catches for 659 yards and six TDs over his last six postseason games.
Kelce played a major role in the Chiefs' 27-17 victory against the Jaguars in Week 10, hauling in six passes for 81 yards and a score. Patrick Mahomes finished with four touchdown passes in the win and also connected with tight end Noah Gray and wideouts Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Kadarius Toney for scores. The 2018 NFL MVP has thrown for 3,381 yards with 28 TDs and seven interceptions in 11 career playoff games and owns the highest passer rating in postseason history (105.7). See which team to pick here.
Why the Jaguars can coverJacksonville has been on a roll since losing at Kansas City in November, going 7-1 after rallying from a 27-point deficit to post a 31-30 victory against the Los Angeles Chargers during Super Wild Card Weekend. With that triumph, the Jaguars became the first team in NFL history to win a playoff game after finishing with the league's worst record the previous season. Making his postseason debut, Trevor Lawrence overcame a miserable first half versus the Chargers in which he threw four interceptions to finish with 288 yards and four touchdown passes.
The first overall pick in the 2021 NFL Draft, Lawrence has guided Jacksonville to six consecutive victories after beginning his professional career with a 7-22 record. The Jaguars provided the 23-year-old quarterback with a solid receiving corps last offseason, bringing in tight end Evan Engram and wideouts Christian Kirk and Zay Jones, who all set career-highs in catches and receiving yards. Meanwhile, running back Travis Etienne Jr, Lawrence's teammate at Clemson, strengthened the team's ground attack by gaining 1,125 yards after missing his rookie season with a foot injury. See which team to pick here.
How to make Chiefs vs. Jaguars picksSportsLine's model is leaning Under the point total, calling for 50 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in over 50% of simulations. You can
