Philadelphia finished the regular season as the NFL's second-ranked defense, and the Eagles have found an even higher level in the 2023 NFL playoffs. They gave up just one touchdown against the Giants in the divisional round before holding San Francisco to seven points in the NFC Championship. Bettors who have been fading opposing offenses with NFL player prop bets at Caesars Sportsbook have found success, but Philadelphia will now face Kansas City quarterback Patrick Mahomes in Super Bowl 57 on Sunday. Mahomes threw for 41 touchdowns during the regular season. Should you back Mahomes or Philadelphia's defense with your 2023 Super Bowl prop bets? Before betting any NFL props for Super Bowl 57, you need to see the Chiefs vs. Eagles NFL prop predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Super Bowl 57 on an incredible 163-113 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 17-6 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of this season and identified both the Eagles and Chiefs as its value Super Bowl picks at the beginning of the 2023 NFL playoffs.
The model ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. It can also be used to crush NFL prop picks. The model enters the 2023 Super Bowl with a 55-42 record on NFL prop picks this season, returning well over $800 for $100 players. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
With Eagles vs. Chiefs in the 2023 Super Bowl approaching, the model has evaluated the NFL player props from Caesars and found five strong Super Bowl bets. You can only see them here.
Top NFL player prop bets for Chiefs vs. EaglesAfter simulating Eagles vs. Chiefs 10,000 times and examining the dozens of NFL player props from Caesars Sportsbook, the model says Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts goes under 45.5 rushing yards. Philadelphia has made sure to ease Hurts back into the offense following his return from a shoulder injury, starting with just 13 rushing yards against the Giants to close the regular season. He upped his rushing yardage to 34 in the divisional round and 39 in the NFC title game, but neither of those outputs would have reached his over-under for the Super Bowl.
The Eagles know that their star quarterback cannot afford to get hurt early in this game, so he will likely stay in the pocket for most of the first half. Buffalo quarterback Josh Allen, who finished ahead of Hurts in rushing yards during the regular season, had just 32 rushing yards when he faced Kansas City in October. SportsLine's model does not have Hurts reaching the 40-yard mark on the ground in its latest projections, creating value on this prop. See more NFL props here.
How to make Super Bowl LVII prop bets for Eagles vs. ChiefsIn addition, the model found a prop that brings a big plus-money return of almost 3-1 and has three other NFL props you won't want to miss. You need to see the model's analysis before making any Chiefs vs. Eagles NFL prop bets for Super Bowl 2023.
Which Super Bowl 57 prop bets should you target? And which
