sport news Top Fantasy Premier League tips for GW11: Rasmus Hojlund's getting plenty of ... trends now
With ten Premier League weekends now in the history books, FPL managers are starting to revise their expectations for the season in terms of overall rank and mini-league aspirations.
In the early weeks of the season, a couple of points here or there had a major impact on green and red arrows, but now the field is starting to stretch from top to bottom.
Finding a few low-owned players can be an excellent way of catching up with the crowd - or even stretching further ahead of it - but targeting differentials is also a risky game. Punt on the wrong horse and you can end up even further behind, especially if you've neglected a heavily-owned player just in a bid to be different.
That being said, if you protect the balance of your squad - keeping those you believe to be excellent options regardless of ownership - a differential or two can go a long way in recovering rank or chasing down mini-league rivals.
With that in mind, Mail Sport takes a look at the best FPL differentials to consider ahead of Saturday's GW11 deadline.
There was more joy for Erling Haaland owners in FPL last week as his two goals at Old Trafford helped reigning champions Manchester City beat rivals Manchester United 3-0 on Sunday
Eddie Nketiah backers were in dreamland after the Arsenal striker netted a hat-trick in GW10
1. Erling Haaland, MCI - 10.22
2. Mohamed Salah, LIV - 7.41
3. Bryan Mbeumo, BRE - 6.34
4. Callum Wilson, NEW - 5.93
5. Alexander Isak, NEW - 5.41
6. Ollie Watkins, AVL - 4.88
7. Yoane Wissa, BRE - 4.35
8. Son Heung-min, TOT - 4.29
9. Nicolas Jackson, CHE - 4.23
10 = Jarrod Bowen, WHU - 4.05
10 = Bukayo Saka, ARS - 4.05
*xG = Expected goals
Liverpool's in-form superstar Mohamed Salah remains in second spot in the xG table
Alexander-Arnold has averaged just shy of 184 points every season over the last five campaigns, thanks to a combination of explosive attacking potential and reliable clean sheets.
The latter has fallen by the wayside at the start of this season, with Jurgen Klopp's side keeping just one clean sheet in their first eight fixtures, but successive shutouts against Nottingham Forest and Everton have put the defender back in the conversation, despite his hefty £7.9m price tag.
With premium trio Erling Haaland, Mohamed Salah and Son Heung-min scoring goals aplenty at the moment, few FPL managers are considering Liverpool's playmaking right-back. And with just one top six side over the next half a dozen fixtures, Alexander-Arnold has every chance of rediscovering his explosive form.
That being said, it's a high risk, high reward move. While he's a solid option, there are also are catalogue of expensive in-form attackers in the game right now and you'll likely be denying yourself one of these fruitful goalscorers by betting on the Reds defender.
Although it's a lot of money to spend on a punt, the decision has the potential to rocket your team up the FPL leaderboard. Other managers will struggle to get to Alexander-Arnold quickly if he regularly starts to secure double-digit hauls like he used to.
Upcoming fixtures: Luton (A), Brentford (H), Man City (A), Fulham (H)
Trent Alexander-Arnold is one of the greatest FPL defenders of all time and could prove a fruitful differential during Liverpool's kind run of fixtures between now and the end of the year
Were it not for Callum Wilson sharing minutes with Alexander Isak at Newcastle, the striker would likely be in every manager's FPL team. Even with in-form forwards Ollie Watkins and Julian Alvarez offering excellent value, no player under £12.0m shows more explosive goal-scoring potential than Wilson when he plays.
Astonishingly, the Magpies forward is boasting an xG of 1.18 per 90 minutes this season. That's superior to premium trio Haaland (1.12), Salah (0.77) and Son (0.49).
In layman's terms, Wilson is currently expected to score six goals every five matches if he plays for a full 90 minutes. And now, with Isak set for a spell on the sidelines, the England international is going to enjoy a major boost in game time, provided he steers clear of injury himself.
Wilson took his goal tally to seven for the season with a brace against Wolves at the weekend, in what was only his second 90-minute outing of the campaign.
Isak, who injured his groin in the Champions League last week, is expected to be out for the next four matches in all competitions, meaning Wilson will likely face Arsenal and Bournemouth at the very least.
Newcastle's initial timeframe for injured centre-back Sven Botman has now reportedly been extended, showing that the medical team are wary not to rush players back too quickly.
With Isak's comeback unclear, now is certainly the time to target Newcastle's goal-scoring talisman.
Upcoming fixtures: Arsenal (H), Bournemouth (A), Chelsea (H), Man United (H)
Callum Wilson added two more goals to his tally for the season with a brace against Wolves
Liverpool's summer signing has quietly gone about his business in FPL this season, picking up five returns from 10 matches in Jurgen Klopp's engine room.
Dominik Szoboszlai is the most advanced player in Liverpool's three-man midfield and it showed on Sunday as he picked up two assists against Nottingham Forest at Anfield.
While Liverpool's attacking quartet of Luis Diaz, Darwin Nunez, Cody Gakpo and Diogo Jota offer more goal potential than the Hungarian, Szoboszlai is a regular 90-minute man under Klopp and a reliable starter week in week out.
With an ownership of just 5.9 per cent, and given Liverpool's kind fixture run between now and GW17, Szoboszlai is an enticing differential for FPL managers.
To put his start to the season into perspective, Szoboszlai's 44-point tally so far is better than both Bruno Fernandes (41) and Marcus Rashford (32) and just two points shy of FPL favourite Kaoru Mitoma.
Upcoming fixtures: Luton (A), Brentford (H), Man City (A), Fulham (H)
Summer signing Dominik Szoboszlai (above) is Liverpool's third highest FPL scorer so far this season - behind Salah and Darwin Nunez - after two assists against Nottingham Forest in GW10
Before you run a mile, hear me out. Yes, Manchester United looked disastrous defensively in both the 3-0 defeat by Manchester City at the weekend, but they still created a hatful of chances against the best defence in the league.
And it was Rasmus Hojlund, United's marquee summer signing, who was at the centre of most of those opportunities. There was a chorus of boos at Old Trafford when the Dane was substituted by Erik ten Hag, and it demonstrates how United fans see him as their best chance of scoring.
Owned by just 5.3 per cent of managers, Hojlund faces Fulham, Luton and Everton in his next three fixtures and will likely continue to attract a handful of opportunities. And once he breaks his duck in the Premier League, his confidence in front of goal will grow.
Hojlund seems very similar to Liverpool's Nunez in that regard: a feast or famine player. While there are perhaps more reliable strikers in the game right now, such as Watkins or Alvarez, the Danish international has the potential and the fixtures to outscore the popular forward options, and thus could prove a handy differential.
FPL managers could even see Hojlund as a three-week experiment. See how he fares against the relegation candidates over the next few games and hopefully reap the rewards, before swapping him to Alvarez when Manchester City's fixtures turn.