By Jack Elsom For Mailonline
Published: 11:57 BST, 17 October 2020 | Updated: 12:01 BST, 17 October 2020
Daily coronavirus deaths could reach up to 690 this month, scientists have warned as ONS data recorded a 50 per cent weekly rise in infections.
The Medical Research Council biostatistics unit at Cambridge University presented Sage with the bleak forecast as they published new predictions on how fast the virus is spreading.
They estimate that 47,000 people in England are contracting Covid-19 ever day, with cases doubling in under seven days.
While the 'substantial proportion' of cases are asymptomatic, their modelling suggests that hundreds will be dying every day within a fortnight.
The report published this week says: 'We predict that the number of deaths each day is likely to be between 240 and 690 on October 26.'
Yesterday the Government announced there had been 15,650 lab-confirmed cases in the past 24 hours, but experts warn this is not an accurate indicator of the overall scale of the epidemic
Some 136 deaths were recorded yesterday, but scientists have warned this could rise to 690 by the end of the month
They said the daily number of infections was within the range of 28,900 to 74,900 per day, with the best estimate being 47,000.
They added the estimated growth rate for England is 0.09 per day, meaning 'the number of infections grows by 9 per cent each day and it translates into a doubling in number in under one week.'
Daily cases in the North West