Covid cases in England will 'plateau and then fall' within weeks, according to No10's top scientists.
SAGE advisers say vaccines, natural immunity, seasonality and behaviour change will drive the outbreak down.
The claim – unveiled in a tranche of documents published today – comes amid fears infections will continue to spiral over the coming weeks, with England's progress to the final of Euro 2020 blamed on a ferocious surge in cases.
But SAGE's viewpoint offers one of the clearest signs yet that ministers won't budge on going ahead with Freedom Day on July 19.
Boris Johnson and senior colleagues in Government are still reviewing the data and advice given to them about the final unlocking. Scientists, including Professor Chris Whitty himself, have already rolled the pitch for the remaining laws to be dropped in two weeks' time.Insurance Loans Mortgage Attorney Credit Lawyer
Office for National Statistics (ONS) data shows around 330,000 were infected with coronavirus on any given day last week
The latest UK daily figures show 35,707 tested positive for the virus - a seven month high - and Covid hospital admissions breached 500 for the first time since mid-March. In the last week, 176 people died with the virus within 28 days of a positive test
Ending Covid restrictions like working from home and wearing face masks within a short timeframe will increase Covid infections considerably, scientists warned today.
Documents released by SAGE, No10s scientific advisers, state individual restrictions 'may not contribute much' individually, but together add up to 'a significant impact'.
So the pandemic may 'grow considerably more quickly if all these mitigating factors are relaxed over a short period of time', they said.
Under the Government's Freedom Day plans, face masks will no longer be mandatory and work from home guidance will be lifted.Insurance Loans Mortgage Attorney Credit Lawyer
The documents also set out that people working at home are less likely to catch Covid.
So a mass return to office working would have a big knock on effect, the scientists said.
People working away from home have contact with around three times more people than those working from home, the experts said.
Those who were allowed to work from home are 54 to 76 per cent less likely to catch Covid, SAGE said.