How TikTok comedian correctly 'predicted' Sydney's Covid numbers

How TikTok comedian correctly 'predicted' Sydney's Covid numbers
How TikTok comedian correctly 'predicted' Sydney's Covid numbers

A TikTok comedian who shot to fame by predicting NSW's daily new Covid case number five days in a row insists he does it with maths skills.

Jon-Bernard Kairouz's incredible accuracy prompted speculation he had a source inside NSW Health feeding him information, which he denies, prompting a 'witch hunt' by bureaucrats.

But there is a much more convincing explanation right under everyone's nose using an app you completely forgot about.

The federal government's Coronavirus Australia app, created last year to provide details about pandemic but never took off, holds the key.

The app updates all state case numbers - the total since the pandemic began - around the country about 8pm every day.

The following day's case numbers can be easily obtained by simply subtracting the previous day's number from the new one - the only maths required.

Sunday night's number of NSW is 6,942 compared to Saturday's 6,833 - meaning the number to be announced at 11am on Monday is 109.

This is the same number Mr Kairouz 'predicted' on Sunday night - tellingly not long after 8pm when the Coronavirus Australia data dropped.

The prankster claimed on Channel Ten's The Project on Sunday he and his brothers calculate the figures by using the 'Kairouz probability algorithm'.

Kairouz is likely to have a source either in NSW Health, the state government or the police who is tipping him off as to the actual numbers before they are released. 

Jon-Bernard Kairouz (pictured on The Project), who refers to himself as the People's Premier, has correctly predicted the state's soaring case numbers for the past five consecutive days.

Jon-Bernard Kairouz (pictured on The Project), who refers to himself as the People's Premier, has correctly predicted the state's soaring case numbers for the past five consecutive days.

But when pressed by the show's host Jan Fran about how he does it, Kairouz said it just comes down to simple maths.

'We are quite lucky as not all complex calculus has one given solution, but we've been lucky to get five in a row and we could possibly get Michael Jordan numbers tomorrow,' Kairouz said, referring to the US basketball great's six championships.

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