Top doctor blasts ‘doom and gloom’ modelling that’s keeping Melbourne locked up until November – and says there’s no real risk of Covid-19 spreading outdoors By Kylie Stevens For Daily Mail Australia Published: 00:31 BST, 20 September 2021 | Updated: 00:31 BST, 20 September 2021 Viewcomments One of Australia's top doctors has slammed 'overcautious' modelling that could keep long suffering Melburnians in lockdown until November. Victorian Premier Daniel Andrews released the state's roadmap out of lockdown on Sunday on a week Melbourne is set to become the most lockdown city in the world during the Covd-19 pandemic. The roadmap predicts Melburnians to be released from their sixth lockdown on October 26 when the state is predicted to hit 70 per cent double vaccination. Former federal deputy chief medical officer Nick Coatsworth is aware of criticism slamming the roadmap, which he says depends on the modelling used. 'The modelling is a little bit overcautious, a little bit overrepresenting the likely impact on the Victoria n health system,' Dr Coatsworth told the Today show on Monday. He doesn't believe in the doom and gloom the Burnet Institute has predicted for Victoria. 'When you look at most models around the world - and we have real-life examples of this in the United Kingdom - where you get the models, they show a certain picture which is doom and gloom and the reality is substantially less, he continued. 'We have a real-life example of that in NSW, where the Burnet Institute predicted far worse than is going on in NSW at the moment.' He added Victoria has the advantage of seeing what happens when lockdowns are lifted in NSW before the state reopens. More to come Share or comment on this article: All rights reserved for this news site (dailymail) and under his responsibility