Map shows how overhaul of Commons boundaries hits Labour

Map shows how overhaul of Commons boundaries hits Labour
Map shows how overhaul of Commons boundaries hits Labour

Boris Johnson could have romped home with an even bigger majority of 96 under new Commons boundaries, a new estimate claims.

A map has given a stark illustration of the scale of the challenge facing Keir Starmer to change Labour's fortunes when the country goes to the polls again.

Number-crunching by Election Maps UK suggests that if the proposals for overhauling constituencies had been in force in 2019 the Conservatives would have won eight more seats.

Labour's tally would also have been reduced by five - from a figure that was already its worst performance since 1936 - while the Lib Dems would have been down one and Plaid cut by two.

Overall Mr Johnson's margin of victory would have been 16 bigger than his historic majority of 80. 

Opinion polls have narrowed since the 2019 vote, when the Tories had an 11-point lead, but they are still routinely showing the party ahead. 

Experts told MailOnline the hypothetical boost from boundary changes in the Election Maps UK estimate was 'at the top end of expectations', but it would 'definitely' be worth Mr Johnson waiting for the reworking to come into effect in 2023. 

Number-crunching by Election Maps UK suggests that if the proposals for overhauling constituencies had been in force in 2019 the Conservatives would have won eight more seats

Number-crunching by Election Maps UK suggests that if the proposals for overhauling constituencies had been in force in 2019 the Conservatives would have won eight more seats

Boris Johnson

Keir Starmer

Boris Johnson could have romped home with an even bigger majority of 96 under new Commons boundaries, according to a new estimate that underlines the scale of the challenge facing Keir Starmer (right) 

Overall Mr Johnson's margin of victory would have been 16 bigger than his historic majority of 80 in 2019, according to the estimates

Overall Mr Johnson's margin of victory would have been 16 bigger than his historic majority of 80 in 2019, according to the estimates

Separate reviews of boundaries have been taking place in different parts of the UK, to account for shifts in local populations. 

The process has happened several times, but no alterations have been finalised since 2005 due to elections being called early and other political factors. 

Based on constituent numbers, England is due

read more from dailymail.....

NEXT Female teacher, 35, is arrested after sending nude pics via text to students ... trends now