Will Barbados live to regret kicking out the Queen, asks ROBERT HARDMAN

At midnight tonight, under floodlights and a balmy Caribbean sky, the Prince of Wales will be guest of honour as one of the world’s smaller democracies formally severs its connections with the Crown and proclaims itself the republic of Barbados.

As of tomorrow morning, soldiers, police officers, judges, civil servants and all the other apparatus of state in what many regard as the ‘most British’ of the Caribbean nations (some still call it ‘Little England’) will no longer owe allegiance to the Queen. 

They will, instead, be answerable to Dame Sandra Mason, a highly-respected 72-year-old judge who becomes the country’s first president.

The average Barbadian will be hard-pushed to notice any difference — for the time being, at any rate. There will be no change to the currency (the Monarch came off the bank notes years ago) and the post boxes will remain the same shade of red.

Besides, for the past three years, Dame Sandra has been the Queen’s representative anyway. At midnight tonight, in a sort of constitutional Cinderella moment, she simply switches from Governor-General to President on the stroke of 12.

Barbados remains as committed as ever to the Commonwealth and continues to recognise the Queen as its Head. A nation that has been fully autonomous since it received independence from Britain in 1966 will be no freer tomorrow morning.

So what’s the big deal? It is, in fact, a significant moment on several levels. For the Monarchy, it is a sign that the Crown’s days could be numbered elsewhere, whether the people want it or not. 

For, despite attempts by some on Twitter to paint this as some sort of Braveheart moment, the voters of Barbados have had no say in ejecting the Queen.

The decision has been handed down by the country’s Labour prime minister, Mia Mottley, and rubber-stamped by a parliament in which she controls 29 out of 30 seats. No referendum was deemed necessary. 

Nor have the people voted for the new president. Again, the politicians have decided that for them. It’s not exactly Barbexit.

All the indications are that most people are content with the idea of a republic. Nor has it made any difference to Barbadians’ deep, personal affection for the Queen or for her successor.

The fact Prince Charles is the guest of honour at tonight’s ceremony — where he will receive the highest honour in the country’s new republican honours system — is proof of that.

The Prince is expected to tell his hosts: ‘It was important to me that I should join you to reaffirm those things which do not change,’ citing both shared values and love of Commonwealth.

Rather, the change is a reflection of multiple factors across the region. These include a new strand of identity politics in the wake of the Black Lives Matter movement and demands that Britain pay reparations for the horrors of the slave trade on which Barbados was founded.

Another is Britain’s lamentable handling of the Windrush scandal.

That blameless elderly Caribbean migrants faced deportation from Britain thanks to a bovine ‘computer says no’ policy at the Home Office has, understandably, caused deep offence.

However, this week’s big event is illustrative of a more fundamental issue. There is a new imperial powerhouse in the Caribbean: China.

Shiny new cricket stadia and hotel developments are all sprouting, courtesy of Beijing.

Just last week, China announced it was building a $274 million ring-road for Jamaica’s second city, Montego Bay. 

Announcing the deal, its Chinese ambassador, Tian Qi, issued the usual platitudes about ‘greener development’, before telling Jamaicans: ‘To get rich, build roads first.’ By contrast, Britain’s promise to spend £2.8 million on marine research in 17 small island states across the Caribbean and Pacific does not cut much mustard.

In other words, places such as Barbados are moving on. This week’s constitutional switch is certainly a big moment for Mia Mottley, one of the most impressive politicians in the region. 

I was in Glasgow the other day to see her address the world leaders at the Cop 26 climate change summit and she delivered a belter that brought the house down.

‘What must we say to our people, living on the frontline?’ she demanded. ‘What excuse should we give for the failure? When will leaders lead? Our people are watching, and our people are taking note.’

It led to renewed praise for her as a ‘rock star’ politician across the Caribbean, though she was careful not to point the finger at the biggest polluter on the planet. Given that China has invested a reported $490 million in Barbados, it would have been unwise.

Just days before the start of the pandemic, Barbados signed a new Memorandum of Understanding, making the country a new member of China’s ‘Belt and Road Initiative’, enjoying new benefits in ‘shipping, aviation, infrastructure and modern agriculture’.

There is, of course, no such thing as a free lunch. The debts for the country’s new Chinese buses, buildings, roads and hotel complexes must be repaid in some way.

Miss Mottley does not welcome questions on this issue or, indeed, on the new constitutional model. 

Despite repeated requests over the past ten days by phone and email for an interview with a government representative, either in Bridgetown or London, I have been told that no one is available to speak to me.

When one UK journalist did manage to broach the subject with the prime minister in Barbados a week ago, the response was a thinly-veiled charge of racism.

It was ‘a reflection of unconscious bias’, Miss Mottley told the Sunday Times, to question the

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