US COVID: Cases fall slightly to 643,660 new infections in a single day and ...

US COVID: Cases fall slightly to 643,660 new infections in a single day and ...
US COVID: Cases fall slightly to 643,660 new  infections in a single day and ...

The number of new US cases of COVID-19 has dropped for the second day running after hitting record highs on Monday, as experts say the Omicron surge may be nearing a peak in New York but will continue to rise in the rest of the country.

The US recorded 643,660 new cases on Wednesday, down from the pandemic record of more than 1 million on Monday. The seven-day rolling average of 587,098 new cases remained up 95 percent from a week ago, according to a DailyMail.com analysis of data from Johns Hopkins University.

Deaths remained low, with 1,986 new deaths recorded Wednesday, a 15 percent decline from week-ago levels on a rolling average basis. On a seven-day rolling average, the US has recorded 1,318 deaths. Hospitalizations are increasing, but remain well below their peak levels a year ago. About 85,000 Covid patients are currently hospitalized in America's hospitals, compared to a peak of 124,000 during last winter's surge, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC).

Around the world, signs are strengthening that Omicron burns out quickly. In South Africa, where the variant was first identified, cases have fallen sharply from their mid-December peak.

In the UK, case counts are still rising, but there are signs that Omicron has peaked in London, the epicenter of the surge there. King's College London scientists estimated cases fell by a third after 33,013 people in the city were estimated to be catching the virus every day on January 3, compared to 49,331 the week before. 

A similar dynamic may be about to unfold in the US, where Omicron could peak as soon as this week in early hotspots New York and Florida, while continuing to surge though the rest of the country, said former FDA Commissioner Scott Gottlieb.

'I think you're already seeing signs of a top in terms of cases in New York and Florida,' Gottlieb said Thursday morning on CNBC. 'It's going to work through other parts of the country more slowly, there's many parts of the country where Omicron hasn't arrived yet.'

'But certainly in the large metropolitan areas you're going to see a peak in the next couple weeks, and in the parts of the country that were hit first, like New York, Florida, the mid-Atlantic, probably as early as this week,' he said.

In a dramatic shift in tone, President Joe Biden now appears to be urging Americans to prepare to live with the virus as a feature of everyday life, contrasting with his earlier vows to vanquish and eliminate it.

King's College London scientists today suggested that cases in London appeared to be peaking. They said they had dropped by a third within a week, raising hopes that the worst of the outbreak may be over. The figures rely on weekly reports from three quarters of a million people nationally to estimate the prevalence of the virus

King's College London scientists today suggested that cases in London appeared to be peaking. They said they had dropped by a third within a week, raising hopes that the worst of the outbreak may be over. The figures rely on weekly reports from three quarters of a million people nationally to estimate the prevalence of the virus

Will COVID deaths stay low during Omicron surge? Data show current US death rate is HALF that of January 2021 

While Omicron drives record COVID-19 case increases in the U.S., deaths have stayed relatively low so far - with about 1,300 Americans dying each day in the last week, compared to 2,600 deaths per day at this point in 2021.

The variant's inherently milder qualities, combined with high levels of immunity from vaccination and prior infections, may mean that a low percentage of people infected in the Omicron surge will face severe symptoms.

The U.S. could follow the U.K., where the current Covid mortality rate is 21 times lower than it was during the country's second wave and experts are saying Omicron 'should be welcomed.'

Following a large wave of cases in the U.S., some experts say that the variant could lead to even higher levels of population immunity - meaning that future surges will be even less severe.

Experts call the phenomenon of the rising case rate compared to a low death rate 'decoupling': hospitalizations and deaths used to increase at the same rate as cases during surges, but now they increase at lower rates.

In the U.S., decoupling may be attributed to both Omicron's inherent biology and high levels of immunity in the population.

A growing number of studies are showing that Omicron is less likely to cause severe symptoms than past coronavirus strains.

Unlike other variants, Omicron can rapidly replicate in the upper airways - but has limited capacity to wreak havoc in the lungs, where the worst respiratory symptoms take place.

At the same time, the U.S. has high levels of immunity from vaccinations and past infections.

More than 70 percent of Americans have received at least one vaccine dose, while about one-third have been infected at some point, computational biologist Trevor Bedford recently told STAT News.

'Factored together, that's 80-odd percent [of people with some immunity,' Bedford said.

While the vaccines are less effective at protecting against Omicron infections than they were at preventing infection from past strains, vaccine protection against severe disease remains strong.

Experts are observing a similar decoupling pattern in the U.K., which is a couple of weeks ahead of the U.S. in its Omicron wave.

Dr David Livermore, a medical microbiologist at the University of East Anglia, told MailOnline the strain's emergence could be the best thing to have happened for the pandemic, echoing comments made by health experts in Denmark earlier this week.

He said: 'With the spread of Omicron over the past three weeks, recorded cases have gone from around 50,000 per day to around 200,000.'

'This has not fed through into an increased death rate - and a rise would have been expected by now, if it was going to happen.

MailOnline analysis found that just 0.15 percent of cases in the U.K. led to a death towards the end of December, compared to three percent during the country's large second wave last winter.

'The divergence between case and death rates agrees perfectly with Omicron being highly transmissible but less lethal than earlier variants - exactly as asserted by doctors in South Africa who discovered it,' Livermore said.

'It tallies also with studies from Hong Kong and Cambridge showing that Omicron is less able to infect lung cells and more likely to stay in the upper airways, where it does less serious harm,' he went on.'

'In all these respects, Omicron is far preferable to the more dangerous variants that proceeded it and its take over should be welcomed.'

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The White House has dismissed the need for lockdowns in this wave of infections, pointing to mounting evidence that Omicron is less severe than earlier strains, and urged schools to remain open.

Instead, Biden continues to stress the importance of vaccinations, saying this week: 'You can control how big an impact Omicron is going to have on your health.'

'We're seeing COVID-19 cases among vaccinated in workplaces across America, including here at the White House. But if you're vaccinated and boosted, you are highly protected,' the president added. 

As deaths and hospitalizations remain relatively low and cases increase, experts have dubbed the phenomenon 'decoupling'. Hospitalizations

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