Why Australian borrowers could be $500 a month worse off by early 2024 as ...

Why Australian borrowers could be $500 a month worse off by early 2024 as ...
Why Australian borrowers could be $500 a month worse off by early 2024 as ...

Australians paying off a typical home could find themselves $513 a month worse off within two years if a major bank's prediction on interest rates comes true.

Westpac is now expecting the Reserve Bank of Australia to raise the cash rate from a record-low of 0.1 per cent to 1.75 per cent by early 2024.

The bank's chief economist Bill Evans is expecting six interest rates rises, in August 2022, October 2022, March 2023, June 2023, December 2023 and March 2024. 

This is despite Reserve Bank Governor Philip Lowe repeatedly promising through much of 2021 that rates would not be raised until 2024 'at the earliest'.

Should Westpac's forecasts come true, someone paying off a typical Australian home would be paying $513 a month extra in mortgage repayments.

Australians paying off a typical home could find themselves $513 a month worse off within two years if a major bank's prediction on interest rates comes true. Westpac is now expecting the Reserve Bank of Australia to raise the cash rate from a record-low of 0.1 per cent to 1.75 per cent by early 2024 (pictured is a stock image)

Australians paying off a typical home could find themselves $513 a month worse off within two years if a major bank's prediction on interest rates comes true. Westpac is now expecting the Reserve Bank of Australia to raise the cash rate from a record-low of 0.1 per cent to 1.75 per cent by early 2024 (pictured is a stock image)

Westpac's interest rate forecasts

NOW: record low 0.1 per cent

AUGUST 2022: Up 0.15 percentage points to 0.25 per cent

OCTOBER 2022: Up 0.25 percentage points to 0.5 per cent

MARCH 2023: Up 0.25 percentage points to 0.75 per cent

JUNE 2023: Up 0.25 percentage points to 1 per cent

DECEMBER 2023: Up 0.5 percentage points to 1.5 per cent

MARCH 2024: Up 0.25 percentage points to 1.75 per cent 

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In 2021, the median price of houses and apartments together rose by 22.1 per cent to $709,803, with the CoreLogic data showing the fastest calendar year increase since 1989.

With a 20 per cent deposit, a borrower buying a mid-price home in Australia would owe the bank $567,842. 

This borrower with the Commonwealth Bank, Australia's biggest home lender, would now be paying off $2,212 a month with a 2.39 per cent variable rate.

Should that rate increase by 1.65 percentage points to 4.04 per cent, repayments would rise by $513 a month to $2,725.

That is also assuming the banks don't raise their variable mortgage rates beyond moves in the Reserve Bank cash rate.

RateCity research director Sally Tindall is advising borrowers to get ahead of their mortgage repayments. 

'While the exact timing of the next cash rate hike is still not certain,

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