Reform 'could cost the Tories 28 seats' even though Nigel Farage U-turned on ... trends now

Reform 'could cost the Tories 28 seats' even though Nigel Farage U-turned on ... trends now
Reform 'could cost the Tories 28 seats' even though Nigel Farage U-turned on ... trends now

Reform 'could cost the Tories 28 seats' even though Nigel Farage U-turned on ... trends now

Reform UK could cost the Conservatives up to 28 seats at the general election despite Nigel Farage dodging another bid to become an MP, an analysis has found.

The Tories were handed a huge boost in the opening stages of campaigning after Mr Farage announced he would not be standing as a Reform candidate on 4 July.

The Brexit champion, who is honorary president of Reform, revealed he would not be making a return to frontline politics but vowed to 'do my bit to help' the party.

Mr Farage's decision was seen as a huge boost to Rishi Sunak as the PM attempts to overhaul Labour's huge poll lead over the Tories over the next six weeks.

But an analysis of detailed polling data has shown the huge threat Reform still poses to the Conservatives at the general election.

Reform UK could cost the Conservatives up to 28 seats at the general election despite Nigel Farage dodging another bid to become an MP, an analysis has found

Reform UK could cost the Conservatives up to 28 seats at the general election despite Nigel Farage dodging another bid to become an MP, an analysis has found

The analysis of detailed polling data has shown the huge threat Richard Tice's Reform still poses to the Conservatives at the general election

The analysis of detailed polling data has shown the huge threat Richard Tice's Reform still poses to the Conservatives at the general election

Mr Farage's decision was seen as a huge boost to Rishi Sunak as the PM, pictured in Belfast today, attempts to overhaul Labour's huge poll lead over the Tories over the next six weeks

Mr Farage's decision was seen as a huge boost to Rishi Sunak as the PM, pictured in Belfast today, attempts to overhaul Labour's huge poll lead over the Tories over the next six weeks

According to the Telegraph, there are 28 seats in which the insurgent party presents a major obstacle to Tory hopes.

YouGov polling data indicates Reform is expected to win more than 20 per cent of the vote in a series of English constituencies across the North and Midlands. 

This could see the Richard Tice-led party deny the Conservatives a win by taking a large slice of the right-wing vote, or even leapfrog the Tories and come second, the newspaper reported.

In the Tory-held Boston and Skegness constituency, which is being contested by Mr Tice, one in four voters are expected to support Reform.

The Conservatives are polling at 36 per cent in the Lincolnshire constituency, followed by Labour in second on 28 per cent and Reform third on 25 per cent.

Barnsley South, Doncaster North, Bassetlaw, and Rotherham are other seats that are also high on Reform's target list. 

Reform already hold one seat in the House of Commons following the defection of former Conservative deputy chairman Lee Anderson after he lost the Tory whip.

In the Nottinghamshire constituency, Reform are polling at 23 per cent - although this would not be enough to beat Labour, who are polling at 35 per cent.

The Conservatives are fearful that Reform's decision to stand in every seat in England, Wales and Scotland will split the right-wing vote and deliver a huge boost to Labour's chances in many parts of Britain.

At the 2019 general election, the Brexit Party - the precursor to Reform - struck a deal with then-PM Boris Johnson not to stand in Tory-held seats.

Mr Farage insisted he wants to focus on backing Donald Trump 's campaign in the US, as he announced he will not be a candidate for the Commons

Mr Farage insisted he wants to focus on

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