A leading Reuters poll of 51 financial experts found the UK leaving without an agreement with the bloc and under World Trade Organisation (WTO) rules became the least probable scenario. The ‘hard’ Brexit favoured by many leading Brexiteers dropped to fourth place below staying a member of the EU, for the first time since the poll began in July 2017. The survey, conducted between April 12-17, revealed the median probability of a no deal Brexit has just a 15 percent chance of occurring.
With only one of the 51 respondents giving a value over 50 percent.
Meanwhile the consensus of the financial experts polled found the most likely scenario was the UK and EU would eventually agree upon a free-trade deal, which has been the case in all reuters polls since 2016.
Whilst a ‘soft’ Brexit with Britain being a member of the European Economic Area and staying in the single market, came in
