Election expert Martin Baxter predicts a general election could result in a Labour/SNP alliance (Image: GETTY)
Martin Baxter, founder of the Electoral Calculus website, made the prediction. Election Calculus has been widely praised for the accuracy of its elections forecasts. During the local elections the Conservatives lost 1,334 councillors, whilst the Labour opposition shredded 82.
Writing in The Daily Telegraph Mr Baxter claimed the local election results, if replicated on a national scale, would “put the Conservatives and Labour level at 28 percent support with the Liberal Democrats on 19 percent”.
Combining this with estimates form the Brexit Party and Change UK, which did not stand at the local elections, the top pollster estimated big Conservative losses at a general election.
He said: “Putting that together indicates that Theresa May's Conservatives would just be ahead of Labour and would be predicted to win 279 seats in the House of Commons, with Labour on 270, the SNP winning 55 seats and the Lib Dems with 22.
“That would make for a hung parliament, with a Labour/SNP alliance as the foundation for a possible majority government.”
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