Early results from several key battleground states show President Donald Trump running further ahead than suggested in polls that had placed them in Joe Biden's column, suggesting the 'hidden Trump vote' may again play a role in the presidential election.
Final polls ahead of the election from Quinnipiac, Reuters/Ipsos and CNBC/Change showed Biden leading in Florida by 5 points, 4 points, and 3 points respectively, suggesting the Democrat would take the key state.
Yet with 98 percent of Florida reporting, Trump led Biden at 51.3 percent to 47.8 percent -- though the notoriously fickle state remained too close to call for many outlets.
Across the country, battleground states such as North Carolina, Michigan and Wisconsin showed Trump leading with partial results reported, raising the prospect that polls showing those states leaning toward Biden might have been flawed.
A Morning Consult poll out Monday showed Biden leading Trump in five battleground states
The final election forecast from data journalist Nate Silver's 538 website on Tuesday morning gave Biden an 89 percent chance of winning the election -- though as midnight approached, a Biden landslide had yet to materialize.
For Biden's boosters, the early returns raised the frightful prospect of a repeat of 2016, when polls showed a commanding lead for Democrat Hillary Clinton that failed to materialize when the votes were tallied.
'There are more [shy Trump voters] than last time and it's not even a contest,' Trafalgar analyst Robert Cahaly (pictured) told The Hill
Among those suggesting that the Trump's prospects are being understated is Robert Cahaly of The Trafalgar Group, one of the only nonpartisan outlets that predicted a Republican victory in 2016 after finding that Trump was leading in the key battleground states of Michigan and Pennsylvania .
This year Trafalgar's analysis in the final days leading up to the election has again found a small lead for Trump in both of those states, contradicting nearly