Pollster says he 'blew it' on New Jersey governor's race

Pollster says he 'blew it' on New Jersey governor's race
Pollster says he 'blew it' on New Jersey governor's race
Pollster admits 'I blew it' after predicting Democrat Phil Murphy would win in a landslide in New Jersey Polling was so off-base for the New Jersey governor's race that one prominent pollster is questioning whether political horserace polling should continue  Monmouth University Poll director Patrick Murray wrote a column Thursday for NJ.com that started out with the phrase: 'I blew it'  'The final Monmouth University Poll margin did not provide an accurate picture of the state of the governor's race,' Murray said 

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Polling was so off-base for the New Jersey governor's race that one prominent pollster is questioning whether political horserace polling should continue. 

Monmouth University Poll director Patrick Murray wrote a column Thursday for NJ.com that started out with the phrase: 'I blew it.' 

'The final Monmouth University Poll margin did not provide an accurate picture of the state of the governor's race,' Murray said. 'So, if you are a Republican who believes the polls cost Ciattarelli an upset victory or a Democrat who feels we lulled your base into complacency, feel free to vent. I hear you.'

New Jersey's incumbent Gov. Phil Murphy was re-elected, but the race was much closer than pollsters predicted. Monmouth University Poll director Patrick Murray wrote a column Thursday saying, 'I blew it'

New Jersey's incumbent Gov. Phil Murphy was re-elected, but the race was much closer than pollsters predicted. Monmouth University Poll director Patrick Murray wrote a column Thursday saying, 'I blew it' 

Republican Jack Ciattarelli came within 2.3 points of taking out incumbent Gov. Phil Murphy. However Monmouth's final poll suggested he would lose by double-digits

Republican Jack Ciattarelli came within 2.3 points of taking out incumbent Gov. Phil Murphy. However Monmouth's final poll suggested he would lose by double-digits 

The final Monmouth survey had Democratic incumbent Gov. Phil Murphy running 11 points ahead of Republican Jack Ciattarelli. 

Other late-in-the-race polls, including Trafalgar Group and Fairleigh Dickinson University also showed the Democrat ahead by a healthy margin. 

Traflagar had Murphy ahead by four points, while Fairleigh Dickinson University had him ahead by nine. 

The final Real Clear Politics

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