BUSINESS LIVE: Inflation steady at 2.2%; L&G to sell housebuilder CALA; M&C Saatchi profits soar

BUSINESS LIVE: Inflation steady at 2.2%; L&G to sell housebuilder CALA; M&C Saatchi profits soar
By: dailymail Posted On: September 18, 2024 View: 10

Consumer price inflation came in at 2.2 per cent for August, unchanged on the previous month and in-line with economist forecasts, fresh data from the Office for National Statistics shows.

The Bank of England, which had predicted CPI would rise to 2.4 per cent last month before hitting almost 2.8 per cent by year-end, will make its latest decision on the direction of interest rates on Thursday.

The FTSE 100 is down 0.2 per cent in early trading. Among the companies with reports and trading updates today are Legal & General, M&C Saatchi, MJ Gleeson and PZ Cussons. Read the Wednesday 18 September Business Live blog below.

> If you are using our app or a third-party site click here to read Business Live 

How to protect your Isa in case Labour launches a tax raid

As Rachel Reeves is given the keys to ­Dorneywood, the 21-room grace-and-favour Buckinghamshire home that was occupied by Deputy Prime Minister John Prescott in the last Labour government, it is perhaps the strongest signal yet that the Exchequer's ­responsibility surpasses that of Deputy Prime Minister, Angela Rayner.

Reeves is set to follow through with Sir Keir Starmer's ­warning that those with the 'broadest shoulders' will bear the brunt of tax hikes in her first Budget next month.

Legal & General agrees to sell housebuilder Cala to former owner for £1.4bn

Legal & General has agreed to sell its housebuilding subsidiary Cala back to its former owner in a £1.35billion deal.

L&G told investors on Wednesday the proceeds of the deal, which is part of a simplification drive, would be reinvested into the group, but some could be earmarked for share buybacks.

Investment firms Sixth Street Partners and Patron Capital have formed a joint venture to acquire Cala.

MJ Gleeson aims to 'triple' profits with target of 3,000 new homes a year

MJ Gleeson could see profitability 'broadly triple' as it looks to build 3,000 new homes per year, the housebuilder has said.

The group, which saw revenues tick 5.2 per cent higher to £345.3million in the 12 months to 30 June, is preparing an ambitious new build target driven by the Government's affordable homes push. 

The FTSE 250 firm also told shareholders on Wednesday it was more optimistic about trading conditions in the year ahead, citing Bank of England base rate cuts and 'a more stable economic outlook'.

Shares in THG plunge despite plans to spin off technology arm

Troubled THG failed to stave off a share sell-off yesterday despite announcing plans to spin off its technology arm.

The beauty and nutrition group, formerly known as The Hut Group, said it was ‘progressing options’ to demerge its Ingenuity business – a move that will help shore up its finances.

Taylor Swift superfans lift Universal Music

Superfans are expected to help deliver growth at Universal Music.

The world’s biggest record company predicts profits will grow by 10 per cent every year for the next four years, while revenues are set to jump 7per cent.

BoE rate cut tomorrow unlikely: 'Inflation is still above target, economic growth is holding up and unemployment remains low'

Robinhood UK lead analyst Dan Lane:

'Inflation is still above target, economic growth is holding up and unemployment remains low so it’s likely we will see a halt in rate cuts tomorrow, with a second cut more likely in November.

'A level reading is in line with expectations and appears positive against near-term predictions of a tick up. With household energy bills set to rise in October and the Bank of England itself saying a rate of 2.75% is likely by year end, we know inflation won’t go down in a straight line.

'It’s now down to how comfortable the BoE is in looking through any short-term stagnation to the eventual effect of lower rates kicking in with a lag.

'The concern is a sticky short-term reversal from 2% gives way to a drift higher into 2025.

'Services inflation has been the fly in the ointment and will be key here; having regularly overshot the BoE’s predictions, a stream of lower readings should assuage policymakers’ unease at cutting rates later in the year. Any further stickiness in the measure will make that job a lot harder.'

ITV to lose millions from Government ban on junk food ads before 9pm

ITV’s boss has warned the Government’s ban on junk food advertisements before 9pm could cost the broadcaster ‘millions of pounds’.

Carolyn McCall has hit out against the move as ministers pledged to press ahead with the policy, despite complaints about ‘nanny state’ curbs and their impact on broadcasters.

Inflation steady at 2.2%: Higher flight ticket costs offset lower prices for hotels and restaurants, alcohol and tobacco

Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets at Hargreaves Lansdown:

‘The optimism which had been simmering on financial markets is coming off the boil ahead of crunch interest rate decisions.

'While inflation in the UK is unchanged at 2.2%, a rise in services inflation mainly due to a big leap in airfare costs is likely to keep policymakers more reticent about reducing rates again on Thursday. The FTSE 100 has fallen back slightly in early trade as uncertainty surrounds central bank policy.

'Although headline inflation in the UK remains unchanged, a creeping up in services inflation is causing niggles of concern.

'Costs in restaurants and hotels have fallen back but transport prices have shot up, particularly air fares. It seems that consumers are still ring-fencing available budgets for holidays and are willing to shell out for higher ticket prices amid a bunfight for seats. After dipping 10.1% in July, airfares jumped 11.9% in August.

'It means airfares rose by 22.2% on the month, the second biggest rise since records began in 2001. The increase came principally from European routes, an indication of people desperate for a quick escape from the rainy British weather for sunnier climes.

'The rise in both services and core inflation may make Bank of England policymakers a bit more wary about voting for a back-to-back rate cut. It still seems likely that they will decide to keep interest rates paused this month, and instead wait to cut rates again in November and December.

'That is the scenario being priced in by financial markets, which see more than a 73% likelihood that rates will be kept on hold but that more cuts will come later in the year.'

London hailed as Europe's best stock market: Wall St backs UK

London was yesterday hailed as Europe’s favourite stock market as the FTSE 100 hit a two-week high.

The latest fund manager survey from Wall Street giant Bank of America (BofA) revealed that the UK was ‘the most preferred equity market in Europe’. Germany was ‘the most unloved’.

Higher services inflation 'makes the case for rate cuts this side of Christmas more difficult'

Rachel WInter, partner at Killik & Co:

'While the headline rate of inflation has stayed the same, the Bank of England will be disappointed by the higher core inflation figure. Core inflation excludes the traditionally volatile components of food and energy, and the recent uptick suggests there is still too much demand in the UK economy. '“This could put a September interest rate cut out of reach, and it also makes the case for future rate cuts more difficult this side of Christmas.

'For investors, as uncertainty around future rates lingers, the importance of maintaining a well-diversified portfolio across multiple asset classes remains.

'Short-term volatility is a concern as we approach Labour’s first Budget, and diversification will help to protect against sector-specific shocks.'

Global expansion drives Pret sales to £1bn: UK-based coffee chain opened 81 shops abroad last year

Pret A Manger global sales jumped to above £1billion last year as it pursued international expansion.

The UK-based coffee and sandwich chain said £1 in every £4 spent by customers now came from outside the UK as sales shot up 22 per cent in 2023.

A total of 81 shops opened up abroad including in India and Canada, as well as in Greece and Spain.

L&G to sell housebuilder CALA

Life insurer Legal & General has agreed to sell its UK housebuilder CALA Group for £1.35billion, including debt.

L&G said the sale to funds managed by Sixth Street Partners and Patron Capital reflects a 'disciplined approach to capital allocation' and follows the London-listed firm's decision to create a Corporate Investments Unit.

It said: 'Disposal proceeds from the sale will primarily be used, as they become available, to reinvest in the Group in line with our strategy and the capital allocation framework set out at the CME. 

'The Board will also consider the proceeds as part of the Group's announced intention to increase returns to shareholders through ongoing buybacks. As signalled, the sale of Cala reduces the Group's Solvency Capital Requirement (SCR) by £100million after diversification.'

M&C Saatchi profits boosted by asset sales

M&C Saatchi profits rocketed 26 per cent in the first half, aided by improved advertising spend from clients, cost-saving measures and asset sales.

Business from the existing client base remained strong with about 75 per cent of last year's clients choosing to spend in the first half of the year, the company said, adding that it now has high-profile clients such as McDonald's, Ford, IKEA and Sony Pictures to its blue-chip roster.

In response to pressure from tech clients' marketing cutbacks last year, M&C Saatchi, under new CEO Zaid Al-Qassab, had been strategically divesting some businesses to enhance margins and profitability.

The advertising group, with clients such as Amazon and Japan's Rakuten posted £14.2million in like-for-like profit before tax for the six months to 30 June, from £11.3million a year earlier.

Fed under pressure to go big with first rate cut in four years: ALEX BRUMMER

Services inflation makes rate cut tomorrow 'even less likely'

Thomas Pugh, economist at RSM UK:

'The rebound in services inflation in August makes an interest rate cut tomorrow even less likely, but this is just a bump in an otherwise downward path. Services inflation should continue to slow over the rest of the year, leaving the door wide open for one, or even two, more cuts towards the end of the year.

'The good news is that accommodation inflation fell again from 3.9% to 3.7% and restaurant inflation dropped from 5.5% to 4.9%. Price pressures in this sector had been very sticky until July, so consecutive drops in inflation suggest that price pressures are now actually easing.

'Elsewhere, almost all goods prices continued to decline, with goods inflation in aggregate dropping by 0.9%, which helped to offset the impact of higher services inflation.

'Overall, we’re not worried about the rebound in services inflation, it was driven by erratic airfares. Most other sectors show that price pressures are continuing to ease. While there is little chance that the MPC will cut interest rates tomorrow, we think the chances of getting two cuts towards the end of the year are rising.'

Sticky services inflation keeps CPI ahead of BoE target of 2%

Matthew Chapman, associate partner at McKinsey & Company:

'Keeping inflation within a hair's breadth of two percent is tricky. While goods inflation has been in negative territory since April, high levels of services inflation have caused the overall CPI to maintain above the 2% target.

'Price increases in everyday essentials has remained slow. While food and non-alcoholic beverage price increases have declined to 1.3%, the cost of living is still top of mind for consumers.

'Higher levels of service inflation (5.6%)- including hotels, package holidays and airfares - has contributed to the overall CPI flatlining at 2.2%. However, consumers are showing a lower intent to spend in these categories in the next 3 months, following the summer, which could impact services inflation in the next few months.

'Consumer confidence is growing - across all age and income groups. If inflation continues its downward trajectory, shoppers may experience a modest increase in purchasing power, which could then translate into stable spending.'

Inflation steady at 2.2% in August

Consumer price inflation came in at 2.2 per cent for August, unchanged on the previous month and in-line with economist forecasts, fresh data from the Office for National Statistics shows.

The Bank of England, which had predicted CPI would rise to 2.4 per cent last month before hitting almost 2.8 per cent by year-end, will make its latest decision on the direction of interest rates on Thursday.

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