BUSINESS LIVE: Markets brace for Budget; Next profits to top £1bn; GSK vaccine sales fall

BUSINESS LIVE: Markets brace for Budget; Next profits to top £1bn; GSK vaccine sales fall
By: dailymail Posted On: October 30, 2024 View: 82

Chancellor Rachel Reeves will later today announce what is expected to mark the  biggest round of tax hikes in 30 years, as well as billions of pounds of extra borrowing. 

Labour's bid to fix public services and revitalise the British economy has driven a degree of market anxiety, with borrowing costs gradually rising to their highest level since before the general election.

The FTSE 100 is down 0.5 per cent in early trading. Among the companies with reports and trading updates today are Next, GSK, Aston Martin Lagonda and CAB Payments. Read the 30 October Business Live blog below.

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Aston Martin narrows losses

Aston Martin posted a smaller-than-expected third-quarter loss on Wednesday, as the luxury carmaker reaffirmed its annual forecast, saying supply disruptions that had caused factory delays were being 'proactively managed'.

Shares are up as much as 6 per cent in early trade following the results, which come as European carmakers grapple with weak demand in China and the US.

Aston Martin had warned last month of a lower annual profit and cut its production forecast by about 1,000 vehicles due to disruption at several suppliers, causing manufacturing delays. It also cited persistent weak demand from China.

New CEO Adrian Hallmark said in a statement that the improved financial and operational performance in the third quarter demonstrated the effectiveness of the group's strategy to ramp up production of fresh models.

Next profits to top £1bn for first time ever after cold weather boost

Next is on track to make over £1billion in annual profits for the first time in its history, after the retailer upgraded guidance for the third time in three months.

Next cheered a colder weather boost to sales of its autumn and winter ranges, with full-price sales rising 7.6 per cent in its third quarter to 26 October.

Next boosted by cold weather

Mamta Valechha, consumer discretionary analyst at Quilter Cheviot:

'Next delivered a positive trading statement today with its third quarter full-price sales increasing well over 7%, ahead of guidance of 5%. This echoes recent UK data-points of a strong start to Autumn/Winter 2024 sales driven by the early arrival of colder weather this year, versus an unusually warm September and early October last year.

'Within the numbers growth was notably driven by online, particularly overseas, which was up over 20%, while UK sales improved both online and in store after a weather impacted the first half of the year, growing 5.8%.

'Looking ahead, Next nudged up full year profit guidance by 1% based on full-price sales growth of +4.9% . Next's final quarter guidance implies a deceleration in Q4, with the release noting the company is "more confident in the two year comparison as we believe the overperformance in Q3 this year is likely to have pulled forward sales from Q4.'

Fire at BAE Systems shipyard

A huge blaze has broken out at BAE Systems' shipyard that builds Britain's nuclear submarines but there is no major risk from the incident, police said on Wednesday.

Pictures online showed what looked like flames and black smoke emerging from the top of the vast Devonshire Dock Hall building that is visible from miles away. Covering around six acres, it is the second biggest shipbuilding complex of its kind in Europe, according to the company.

Cumbria police in north-west England said in a statement that two people had been taken to a hospital after suffering from suspected smoke inhalation and that there were no other casualties.

Police said the emergency services were called to the site at 00:44 GMT.

MARKET REPORT: Budget jitters hit shares of online trading firms

Online trading platforms suffered a pre-Budget sell-off yesterday amid fears over the contents of the Chancellor’s red box.

While businesses and households have much to fret about – from higher employer national insurance contributions to a hike in bus fares – firms such as CMC Markets and IG Group were hit by speculation over what might happen to capital gains tax.

Keir Starmer last week sparked outrage when he insisted that anyone who owns shares is not a ‘working person’ – the implication being they are fair game for a revenue-hungry Treasury.

GSK expects weaker vaccine sales as demand struggles

GSK has lowered its 2024 vaccine sales forecast for the second time this year, hit by weak demand for its respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) and shingles vaccines.

The British drugmaker now expects 2024 vaccine sales to decrease by low-single digit percentage in turnover. It had previously expected the business to grow by a low to mid-single digit percentage.

The company reported core earnings per share of 49.7p on sales of £8billion for the three months to 30 September, compared with an EPS of 43.6p on sales of about £8billion forecast by analysts.

It kept full-year total sales and earnings forecasts unchanged.

'Strong growth in specialty medicines helped to offset lower vaccine sales and reflected successful new product launches in oncology and HIV,' GSK CEO Emma Walmsley said in a statement.

Next profits to top £1bn as retailer continues to outperform

Next expects annual profits to exceed £1billion as the fashion retailer upgraded guidane for the third time in four months on Wednesday.

The group said the upgrade reflected a better-than-expected 7.6 per cent rise in third quarter full price sales, driven by the early arrival of colder weather this year, versus an unusually warm September and early October last year

FTSE 100 set to open lower amid Budget uncertainty

Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets, Hargreaves Lansdown:

‘The FTSE 100 looks set to open lower, as uncertainty swirls about the contents of the UK Budget, the first from a Labour Chancellor in 14 years.

'UK investors are braced for a shovel of tax hikes to fill a yawning black hole in the UK government’s finances. There is speculation that Rachel Reeves will try to find ways to raise revenue and cut spending to cover a shortfall of up to £40 billion.

'The details of how debt rules will be changed to enable the government to borrow more without breaking its self-imposed borrowing limits are set to be announced.

'This strategy has been widely trailed to avoid a temperamental attitude from bond investors breaking out, and so far, it appears to have done the trick, although institutions financing government borrowing will keep a keen eye trained on what the swelling investment budget will be spent on.

'Already her expected Budget plans have been judged by bond dealers to push UK government bond issuance towards £300 billion this year, around a 6% increase on the existing target.

'Any sign of profligacy may well be punished by investors demanding a greater return to hold UK debt. Already nervousness has increased, with UK gilt yields pushing higher to around 4.3%, but they are still lower than levels reached in July.

'Part of this rise has been down to changing interest rate expectations and overall, markets still appear quietly confident that the Chancellor will keep focusing on carving out a reputation for prudence and responsibility. It’s looking unlikely that investment pledges announced today will max out the government’s new borrowing facility under the rule change.'

It's our worst NIGHTMARE: Business braced for 'perfect storm' in Halloween Budget

Rachel Reeves was last night accused of turning her back on economic growth as business braces for a Budget onslaught that will drive up costs and threaten livelihoods.

The Chancellor will today hit corporate Britain with an increase in employer national insurance contributions of up to 2p having previously branded the levy a ‘tax on jobs’.

The national insurance raid – which could raise as much as £20billion – comes alongside an inflation-busting 6.7 per cent increase in the minimum wage and a workers’ rights package costing firms £5billion a year.

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